Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data

For typical sample sizes occurring in economic and financial applications, the squared bias of estimators for the memory parameter is small relative to the variance. Smoothing is therefore a suitable way to improve the performance in terms of the mean squared error. However, in an analysis of financ...

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Main Authors: Erhard Reschenhofer, Manveer K. Mangat
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-10-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/8/4/40
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author Erhard Reschenhofer
Manveer K. Mangat
author_facet Erhard Reschenhofer
Manveer K. Mangat
author_sort Erhard Reschenhofer
collection DOAJ
description For typical sample sizes occurring in economic and financial applications, the squared bias of estimators for the memory parameter is small relative to the variance. Smoothing is therefore a suitable way to improve the performance in terms of the mean squared error. However, in an analysis of financial high-frequency data, where the estimates are obtained separately for each day and then combined by averaging, the variance decreases with the sample size but the bias remains fixed. This paper proposes a method of smoothing that does not entail an increase in the bias. This method is based on the simultaneous examination of different partitions of the data. An extensive simulation study is carried out to compare it with conventional estimation methods. In this study, the new method outperforms its unsmoothed competitors with respect to the variance and its smoothed competitors with respect to the bias. Using the results of the simulation study for the proper interpretation of the empirical results obtained from a financial high-frequency dataset, we conclude that significant long-range dependencies are present only in the intraday volatility but not in the intraday returns. Finally, the robustness of these findings against daily and weekly periodic patterns is established.
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spelling doaj.art-9a2f0b1270b24a5ebeaf40aa161e6dc62023-11-20T16:34:37ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462020-10-01844010.3390/econometrics8040040Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency DataErhard Reschenhofer0Manveer K. Mangat1Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Vienna, Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1, 1090 Vienna, AustriaDepartment of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Vienna, Oskar-Morgenstern-Platz 1, 1090 Vienna, AustriaFor typical sample sizes occurring in economic and financial applications, the squared bias of estimators for the memory parameter is small relative to the variance. Smoothing is therefore a suitable way to improve the performance in terms of the mean squared error. However, in an analysis of financial high-frequency data, where the estimates are obtained separately for each day and then combined by averaging, the variance decreases with the sample size but the bias remains fixed. This paper proposes a method of smoothing that does not entail an increase in the bias. This method is based on the simultaneous examination of different partitions of the data. An extensive simulation study is carried out to compare it with conventional estimation methods. In this study, the new method outperforms its unsmoothed competitors with respect to the variance and its smoothed competitors with respect to the bias. Using the results of the simulation study for the proper interpretation of the empirical results obtained from a financial high-frequency dataset, we conclude that significant long-range dependencies are present only in the intraday volatility but not in the intraday returns. Finally, the robustness of these findings against daily and weekly periodic patterns is established.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/8/4/40long-range dependencelog periodogram regressionsmoothed periodogramsubsamplingintraday returns
spellingShingle Erhard Reschenhofer
Manveer K. Mangat
Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data
Econometrics
long-range dependence
log periodogram regression
smoothed periodogram
subsampling
intraday returns
title Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data
title_full Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data
title_fullStr Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data
title_full_unstemmed Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data
title_short Reducing the Bias of the Smoothed Log Periodogram Regression for Financial High-Frequency Data
title_sort reducing the bias of the smoothed log periodogram regression for financial high frequency data
topic long-range dependence
log periodogram regression
smoothed periodogram
subsampling
intraday returns
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/8/4/40
work_keys_str_mv AT erhardreschenhofer reducingthebiasofthesmoothedlogperiodogramregressionforfinancialhighfrequencydata
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