High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic

Abstract Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) has been shown in climate models to reduce some impacts of global warming in the Arctic, including the loss of sea ice, permafrost thaw, and reduction of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) mass; SAI at high latitudes could preferentially target these impacts. I...

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Main Authors: Walker Raymond Lee, Douglas G. MacMartin, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, Yating Chen, John C. Moore, Gunter Leguy, David M. Lawrence, David A. Bailey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Earth's Future
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003052
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author Walker Raymond Lee
Douglas G. MacMartin
Daniele Visioni
Ben Kravitz
Yating Chen
John C. Moore
Gunter Leguy
David M. Lawrence
David A. Bailey
author_facet Walker Raymond Lee
Douglas G. MacMartin
Daniele Visioni
Ben Kravitz
Yating Chen
John C. Moore
Gunter Leguy
David M. Lawrence
David A. Bailey
author_sort Walker Raymond Lee
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) has been shown in climate models to reduce some impacts of global warming in the Arctic, including the loss of sea ice, permafrost thaw, and reduction of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) mass; SAI at high latitudes could preferentially target these impacts. In this study, we use the Community Earth System Model to simulate two Arctic‐focused SAI strategies, which inject at 60°N latitude each spring with injection rates adjusted to either maintain September Arctic sea ice at 2030 levels (“Arctic Low”) or restore it to 2010 levels (“Arctic High”). Both simulations maintain or restore September sea ice to within 10% of their respective targets, reduce permafrost thaw, and increase GrIS surface mass balance by reducing runoff. Arctic High reduces these impacts more effectively than a globally focused SAI strategy that injects similar quantities of SO2 at lower latitudes. However, Arctic‐focused SAI is not merely a “reset button” for the Arctic climate, but brings about a novel climate state, including changes to the seasonal cycles of Northern Hemisphere temperature and sea ice and less high‐latitude carbon uptake relative to SSP2‐4.5. Additionally, while Arctic‐focused SAI produces the most cooling near the pole, its effects are not confined to the Arctic, including detectable cooling throughout most of the northern hemisphere for both simulations, increased mid‐latitude sulfur deposition, and a southward shift of the location of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. For these reasons, it would be incorrect to consider Arctic‐focused SAI as “local” geoengineering, even when compared to a globally focused strategy.
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spelling doaj.art-9a37859a12884fbe95f3d7a6548794fb2023-01-27T18:20:32ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772023-01-01111n/an/a10.1029/2022EF003052High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the ArcticWalker Raymond Lee0Douglas G. MacMartin1Daniele Visioni2Ben Kravitz3Yating Chen4John C. Moore5Gunter Leguy6David M. Lawrence7David A. Bailey8Sibley School for Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Cornell University NY Ithaca USASibley School for Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Cornell University NY Ithaca USASibley School for Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Cornell University NY Ithaca USADepartment of Earth and Atmospheric Science Indiana University IN Bloomington USACollege of Global Change and Earth System Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaCollege of Global Change and Earth System Science Beijing Normal University Beijing ChinaClimate and Global Dynamics Laboratory National Center for Atmospheric Research CO Boulder USAClimate and Global Dynamics Laboratory National Center for Atmospheric Research CO Boulder USAClimate and Global Dynamics Laboratory National Center for Atmospheric Research CO Boulder USAAbstract Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) has been shown in climate models to reduce some impacts of global warming in the Arctic, including the loss of sea ice, permafrost thaw, and reduction of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) mass; SAI at high latitudes could preferentially target these impacts. In this study, we use the Community Earth System Model to simulate two Arctic‐focused SAI strategies, which inject at 60°N latitude each spring with injection rates adjusted to either maintain September Arctic sea ice at 2030 levels (“Arctic Low”) or restore it to 2010 levels (“Arctic High”). Both simulations maintain or restore September sea ice to within 10% of their respective targets, reduce permafrost thaw, and increase GrIS surface mass balance by reducing runoff. Arctic High reduces these impacts more effectively than a globally focused SAI strategy that injects similar quantities of SO2 at lower latitudes. However, Arctic‐focused SAI is not merely a “reset button” for the Arctic climate, but brings about a novel climate state, including changes to the seasonal cycles of Northern Hemisphere temperature and sea ice and less high‐latitude carbon uptake relative to SSP2‐4.5. Additionally, while Arctic‐focused SAI produces the most cooling near the pole, its effects are not confined to the Arctic, including detectable cooling throughout most of the northern hemisphere for both simulations, increased mid‐latitude sulfur deposition, and a southward shift of the location of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. For these reasons, it would be incorrect to consider Arctic‐focused SAI as “local” geoengineering, even when compared to a globally focused strategy.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003052geoengineeringstratospheric aerosol injectionhigh‐latitude aerosol injectionsea icepermafrostGreenland ice sheet
spellingShingle Walker Raymond Lee
Douglas G. MacMartin
Daniele Visioni
Ben Kravitz
Yating Chen
John C. Moore
Gunter Leguy
David M. Lawrence
David A. Bailey
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
Earth's Future
geoengineering
stratospheric aerosol injection
high‐latitude aerosol injection
sea ice
permafrost
Greenland ice sheet
title High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
title_full High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
title_fullStr High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
title_full_unstemmed High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
title_short High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
title_sort high latitude stratospheric aerosol injection to preserve the arctic
topic geoengineering
stratospheric aerosol injection
high‐latitude aerosol injection
sea ice
permafrost
Greenland ice sheet
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003052
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