Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia

The objective of this study is to determine the solar energy potential in Indonesia using artificial neural networks (ANNs) method. In this study, the meteorological data during 2005 to 2009 collected from 3 cities (Jakarta, Manado, Bengkulu) are used for training the neural networks and the data fr...

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Main Authors: Meita Rumbayan, Ken Nagasaka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Indonesia 2014-01-01
Series:International Journal of Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/1112
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author Meita Rumbayan
Ken Nagasaka
author_facet Meita Rumbayan
Ken Nagasaka
author_sort Meita Rumbayan
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this study is to determine the solar energy potential in Indonesia using artificial neural networks (ANNs) method. In this study, the meteorological data during 2005 to 2009 collected from 3 cities (Jakarta, Manado, Bengkulu) are used for training the neural networks and the data from 1 city (Makasar) is used for testing the estimated values. The testing data were not used in the training of the network in order to give an indication of the performance of the system at unknown locations. Fifteen combinations of ANN models were developed and evaluated. The multi layer perceptron ANNs model, with 7 inputs variables (average temperature, average relative humidity, average sunshine duration, longitude, latitude, latitude, month of the year) are proposed to estimate the global solar irradiation as output. To evaluate the performance of ANN models, statistical error analysis in terms of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute bias error (MABE) and root mean square error (RMSE) are conducted for testing data. The best results of MAPE, MABE, RMSE are found to be 7.4%, 1.10 MJ/m2 and 0.17 MJ/m2 respectively as 7 neurons were set up in the hidden layer. The result demonstrates the capability of ANN model to generate the solar irradiation estimation in Indonesia.
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spelling doaj.art-9a3ac9f5b4134818b23d9538b9cdbaf82023-01-02T17:52:59ZengUniversitas IndonesiaInternational Journal of Technology2086-96142087-21002014-01-013211012010.14716/ijtech.v3i2.11121112Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in IndonesiaMeita Rumbayan0Ken Nagasaka1Department of Electrical and Informatics Engineering, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, Tokyo, Japan ; Faculty of Engineering, Sam Ratulangi University, Manado, IndonesiaDepartment of Electrical and Informatics Engineering, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, Tokyo, JapanThe objective of this study is to determine the solar energy potential in Indonesia using artificial neural networks (ANNs) method. In this study, the meteorological data during 2005 to 2009 collected from 3 cities (Jakarta, Manado, Bengkulu) are used for training the neural networks and the data from 1 city (Makasar) is used for testing the estimated values. The testing data were not used in the training of the network in order to give an indication of the performance of the system at unknown locations. Fifteen combinations of ANN models were developed and evaluated. The multi layer perceptron ANNs model, with 7 inputs variables (average temperature, average relative humidity, average sunshine duration, longitude, latitude, latitude, month of the year) are proposed to estimate the global solar irradiation as output. To evaluate the performance of ANN models, statistical error analysis in terms of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute bias error (MABE) and root mean square error (RMSE) are conducted for testing data. The best results of MAPE, MABE, RMSE are found to be 7.4%, 1.10 MJ/m2 and 0.17 MJ/m2 respectively as 7 neurons were set up in the hidden layer. The result demonstrates the capability of ANN model to generate the solar irradiation estimation in Indonesia.http://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/1112Artificial neural network, Indonesia, Multi layer perception, Renewable energy, Solar irradiation
spellingShingle Meita Rumbayan
Ken Nagasaka
Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia
International Journal of Technology
Artificial neural network, Indonesia, Multi layer perception, Renewable energy, Solar irradiation
title Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia
title_full Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia
title_fullStr Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia
title_short Solar Irradiation Estimation with Neural Network Method Using Meteorological Data in Indonesia
title_sort solar irradiation estimation with neural network method using meteorological data in indonesia
topic Artificial neural network, Indonesia, Multi layer perception, Renewable energy, Solar irradiation
url http://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/1112
work_keys_str_mv AT meitarumbayan solarirradiationestimationwithneuralnetworkmethodusingmeteorologicaldatainindonesia
AT kennagasaka solarirradiationestimationwithneuralnetworkmethodusingmeteorologicaldatainindonesia