Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia

This paper examines the relationship between gross domestic product and exports of goods and services in Croatia between 1996 and 2012. The research results confirmed unidirectional Granger causality from the exports of goods and services to gross domestic product. Following the Engle-Granger approa...

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Main Authors: Bilas Vlatka, Bošnjak Mile, Franc Sanja
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2015-06-01
Series:Naše Gospodarstvo
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/ngoe-2015-0010
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author Bilas Vlatka
Bošnjak Mile
Franc Sanja
author_facet Bilas Vlatka
Bošnjak Mile
Franc Sanja
author_sort Bilas Vlatka
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the relationship between gross domestic product and exports of goods and services in Croatia between 1996 and 2012. The research results confirmed unidirectional Granger causality from the exports of goods and services to gross domestic product. Following the Engle-Granger approach to cointegration, long-term equilibrium as well as short-term correlation between the observed variables was identified. Exports of goods and services and gross domestic product (GDP) in Croatia move together. If the two observed variables move away from equilibrium, they will return to their long-term equilibrium state at a velocity of 24.46% in the subsequent period. In accordance with the results, we found evidence supporting the export-led growth hypothesis in Croatia. As the outcomes indicated, to recover the economy, Croatia should put more emphasis on the development of exporting sectors.
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spelling doaj.art-9aad0820f14c404281f6e2935b441e1d2022-12-22T00:06:44ZengSciendoNaše Gospodarstvo2385-80522015-06-01613223110.1515/ngoe-2015-0010ngoe-2015-0010Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of CroatiaBilas Vlatka0Bošnjak Mile1Franc Sanja2University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, CroatiaSKDD – CCP Smart Clear Ltd Zagreb, CroatiaUniversity of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, CroatiaThis paper examines the relationship between gross domestic product and exports of goods and services in Croatia between 1996 and 2012. The research results confirmed unidirectional Granger causality from the exports of goods and services to gross domestic product. Following the Engle-Granger approach to cointegration, long-term equilibrium as well as short-term correlation between the observed variables was identified. Exports of goods and services and gross domestic product (GDP) in Croatia move together. If the two observed variables move away from equilibrium, they will return to their long-term equilibrium state at a velocity of 24.46% in the subsequent period. In accordance with the results, we found evidence supporting the export-led growth hypothesis in Croatia. As the outcomes indicated, to recover the economy, Croatia should put more emphasis on the development of exporting sectors.https://doi.org/10.1515/ngoe-2015-0010gross domestic productexportcroatiagranger causality
spellingShingle Bilas Vlatka
Bošnjak Mile
Franc Sanja
Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia
Naše Gospodarstvo
gross domestic product
export
croatia
granger causality
title Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia
title_full Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia
title_fullStr Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia
title_full_unstemmed Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia
title_short Examining the Export-led Growth Hypothesis: The case of Croatia
title_sort examining the export led growth hypothesis the case of croatia
topic gross domestic product
export
croatia
granger causality
url https://doi.org/10.1515/ngoe-2015-0010
work_keys_str_mv AT bilasvlatka examiningtheexportledgrowthhypothesisthecaseofcroatia
AT bosnjakmile examiningtheexportledgrowthhypothesisthecaseofcroatia
AT francsanja examiningtheexportledgrowthhypothesisthecaseofcroatia