Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency

In this paper, we use a statistical arbitrage method in different developed and emerging countries to show that the profitability of the strategy is based on the degree of market efficiency. We will show that our strategy is more profitable in emerging ones and in periods with greater uncertainty. O...

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Main Authors: Karen Balladares, José Pedro Ramos-Requena, Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia, Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-01-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/2/179
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author Karen Balladares
José Pedro Ramos-Requena
Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero
author_facet Karen Balladares
José Pedro Ramos-Requena
Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero
author_sort Karen Balladares
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we use a statistical arbitrage method in different developed and emerging countries to show that the profitability of the strategy is based on the degree of market efficiency. We will show that our strategy is more profitable in emerging ones and in periods with greater uncertainty. Our method consists of a Pairs Trading strategy based on the concept of mean reversion by selecting pair series that have the lower Hurst exponent. We also show that the pair selection with the lowest Hurst exponent has sense, and the lower the Hurst exponent of the pair series, the better the profitability that is obtained. The sample is composed by the 50 largest capitalized companies of 39 countries, and the performance of the strategy is analyzed during the period from 1 January 2000 to 10 April 2020. For a deeper analysis, this period is divided into three different subperiods and different portfolios are also considered.
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spelling doaj.art-9af314d5bd8947f18e9fb4a1ab6541b42023-12-03T13:36:49ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902021-01-019217910.3390/math9020179Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of EfficiencyKaren Balladares0José Pedro Ramos-Requena1Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia2Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero3Facultad de Ciencias Administrativas, Universidad de Guayaquil, 090514 Guayaquil, EcuadorDepartamento de Economía y Empresa, Universidad de Almería, Carretera Sacramento s/n, La Cañada de San Urbano, 04120 Almería, SpainDepartamento de Economía y Empresa, Universidad de Almería, Carretera Sacramento s/n, La Cañada de San Urbano, 04120 Almería, SpainDepartamento de Matemáticas, Universidad de Almería, Carretera Sacramento s/n, La Cañada de San Urbano, 04120 Almería, SpainIn this paper, we use a statistical arbitrage method in different developed and emerging countries to show that the profitability of the strategy is based on the degree of market efficiency. We will show that our strategy is more profitable in emerging ones and in periods with greater uncertainty. Our method consists of a Pairs Trading strategy based on the concept of mean reversion by selecting pair series that have the lower Hurst exponent. We also show that the pair selection with the lowest Hurst exponent has sense, and the lower the Hurst exponent of the pair series, the better the profitability that is obtained. The sample is composed by the 50 largest capitalized companies of 39 countries, and the performance of the strategy is analyzed during the period from 1 January 2000 to 10 April 2020. For a deeper analysis, this period is divided into three different subperiods and different portfolios are also considered.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/2/179emerging marketspairs tradingHurst exponentfinancial marketslong memoryco-movement
spellingShingle Karen Balladares
José Pedro Ramos-Requena
Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia
Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero
Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency
Mathematics
emerging markets
pairs trading
Hurst exponent
financial markets
long memory
co-movement
title Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency
title_full Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency
title_fullStr Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency
title_full_unstemmed Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency
title_short Statistical Arbitrage in Emerging Markets: A Global Test of Efficiency
title_sort statistical arbitrage in emerging markets a global test of efficiency
topic emerging markets
pairs trading
Hurst exponent
financial markets
long memory
co-movement
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/2/179
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AT josepedroramosrequena statisticalarbitrageinemergingmarketsaglobaltestofefficiency
AT juanevangelistatrinidadsegovia statisticalarbitrageinemergingmarketsaglobaltestofefficiency
AT miguelangelsanchezgranero statisticalarbitrageinemergingmarketsaglobaltestofefficiency