A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics

Dynamic models of structural and mechanical systems can be updated to match the measured data through a Bayesian inference process. However, the performance of classical (non-adaptive) Bayesian model updating approaches decreases significantly when the pre-assumed statistical characteristics of the...

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Main Authors: Mansureh-Sadat Nabiyan, Mahdi Sharifi, Hamed Ebrahimian, Babak Moaveni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Built Environment
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbuil.2023.1143597/full
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author Mansureh-Sadat Nabiyan
Mahdi Sharifi
Hamed Ebrahimian
Babak Moaveni
author_facet Mansureh-Sadat Nabiyan
Mahdi Sharifi
Hamed Ebrahimian
Babak Moaveni
author_sort Mansureh-Sadat Nabiyan
collection DOAJ
description Dynamic models of structural and mechanical systems can be updated to match the measured data through a Bayesian inference process. However, the performance of classical (non-adaptive) Bayesian model updating approaches decreases significantly when the pre-assumed statistical characteristics of the model prediction error are violated. To overcome this issue, this paper presents an adaptive recursive variational Bayesian approach to estimate the statistical characteristics of the prediction error jointly with the unknown model parameters. This approach improves the accuracy and robustness of model updating by including the estimation of model prediction error. The performance of this approach is demonstrated using numerically simulated data obtained from a structural frame with material non-linearity under earthquake excitation. Results show that in the presence of non-stationary noise/error, the non-adaptive approach fails to estimate unknown model parameters, whereas the proposed approach can accurately estimate them.
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spelling doaj.art-9b0e201ea25045a4b06cd49a138452502023-04-24T04:31:07ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Built Environment2297-33622023-04-01910.3389/fbuil.2023.11435971143597A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statisticsMansureh-Sadat Nabiyan0Mahdi Sharifi1Hamed Ebrahimian2Babak Moaveni3Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford, OR, United StatesGavin and Doherty Geosolutions Ltd, Dublin, IrelandDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Nevada, Reno, NV, United StatesDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Tufts University, Medford, OR, United StatesDynamic models of structural and mechanical systems can be updated to match the measured data through a Bayesian inference process. However, the performance of classical (non-adaptive) Bayesian model updating approaches decreases significantly when the pre-assumed statistical characteristics of the model prediction error are violated. To overcome this issue, this paper presents an adaptive recursive variational Bayesian approach to estimate the statistical characteristics of the prediction error jointly with the unknown model parameters. This approach improves the accuracy and robustness of model updating by including the estimation of model prediction error. The performance of this approach is demonstrated using numerically simulated data obtained from a structural frame with material non-linearity under earthquake excitation. Results show that in the presence of non-stationary noise/error, the non-adaptive approach fails to estimate unknown model parameters, whereas the proposed approach can accurately estimate them.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbuil.2023.1143597/fulladaptive Bayesian model updatingvariational Bayesian techniquenoise identificationmodel prediction errornon-stationary noise
spellingShingle Mansureh-Sadat Nabiyan
Mahdi Sharifi
Hamed Ebrahimian
Babak Moaveni
A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
Frontiers in Built Environment
adaptive Bayesian model updating
variational Bayesian technique
noise identification
model prediction error
non-stationary noise
title A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
title_full A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
title_fullStr A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
title_full_unstemmed A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
title_short A variational Bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
title_sort variational bayesian inference technique for model updating of structural systems with unknown noise statistics
topic adaptive Bayesian model updating
variational Bayesian technique
noise identification
model prediction error
non-stationary noise
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbuil.2023.1143597/full
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