Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space

With the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2016, Iran experienced a short period without international sanctions which resulted in an annual increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the following two years. However, it was not just the formal economy that was...

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Main Authors: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan, Sven Fischer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-11-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/22/4620
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author Mohammad Reza Farzanegan
Sven Fischer
author_facet Mohammad Reza Farzanegan
Sven Fischer
author_sort Mohammad Reza Farzanegan
collection DOAJ
description With the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2016, Iran experienced a short period without international sanctions which resulted in an annual increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the following two years. However, it was not just the formal economy that was affected by the sanctions. Previous studies have shown that sanctions can negatively affect the shadow (or informal) economy and may even have a larger impact on the informal economy than on the formal economy. Nighttime lights (NTL) data allow us to study shadow economy activities that are not reported in the official GDP. This study uses a panel of NTL (the DMSP/OLS and VIIRS/DNB harmonized dataset) from 1992 to 2018 for 31 Iranian provinces to investigate the association between the lifting of sanctions and the growth of the shadow economy. The empirical results suggest an increase in shadow economy activity with the lifting of sanctions while controlling for other drivers of informal activities.
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spelling doaj.art-9b37be8a86ba475ca3ad1d36f0e5b8a02023-11-23T01:20:28ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922021-11-011322462010.3390/rs13224620Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer SpaceMohammad Reza Farzanegan0Sven Fischer1Economics of the Middle East Research Group, Center for Near and Middle Eastern Studies (CNMS), School of Business and Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, 35032 Marburg, GermanyEconomics of the Middle East Research Group, Center for Near and Middle Eastern Studies (CNMS), School of Business and Economics, Philipps-Universität Marburg, 35032 Marburg, GermanyWith the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2016, Iran experienced a short period without international sanctions which resulted in an annual increase in the gross domestic product (GDP) in the following two years. However, it was not just the formal economy that was affected by the sanctions. Previous studies have shown that sanctions can negatively affect the shadow (or informal) economy and may even have a larger impact on the informal economy than on the formal economy. Nighttime lights (NTL) data allow us to study shadow economy activities that are not reported in the official GDP. This study uses a panel of NTL (the DMSP/OLS and VIIRS/DNB harmonized dataset) from 1992 to 2018 for 31 Iranian provinces to investigate the association between the lifting of sanctions and the growth of the shadow economy. The empirical results suggest an increase in shadow economy activity with the lifting of sanctions while controlling for other drivers of informal activities.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/22/4620shadow economyIransanctionsJCPOAnighttime lights
spellingShingle Mohammad Reza Farzanegan
Sven Fischer
Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
Remote Sensing
shadow economy
Iran
sanctions
JCPOA
nighttime lights
title Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
title_full Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
title_fullStr Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
title_full_unstemmed Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
title_short Lifting of International Sanctions and the Shadow Economy in Iran—A View from Outer Space
title_sort lifting of international sanctions and the shadow economy in iran a view from outer space
topic shadow economy
Iran
sanctions
JCPOA
nighttime lights
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/22/4620
work_keys_str_mv AT mohammadrezafarzanegan liftingofinternationalsanctionsandtheshadoweconomyiniranaviewfromouterspace
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