Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming

The physics of local scour around bridge piers is fairly complex because of multiple forces acting on it. Existing empirical formulas cannot cover all scenarios and soft computing methods require ever greater amounts of data to cover all cases with a single formula or a neural network. The approach...

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Main Authors: Kaya Oğuz, Aslı Bor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:Applied Artificial Intelligence
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08839514.2021.2001734
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author Kaya Oğuz
Aslı Bor
author_facet Kaya Oğuz
Aslı Bor
author_sort Kaya Oğuz
collection DOAJ
description The physics of local scour around bridge piers is fairly complex because of multiple forces acting on it. Existing empirical formulas cannot cover all scenarios and soft computing methods require ever greater amounts of data to cover all cases with a single formula or a neural network. The approach proposed in this study brings together observations from over 40 studies, grouping similar observations with hierarchical clustering, and using genetic programming with adaptive operators to evolve formulas specific to each cluster to predict the scour depth. The resulting formulas are made available along with a basic web-based user interface that finds the closest cluster for newly presented data and finds the scour depth using the formula for that cluster. All formulas have R2 scores over 0.8 and have been validated with validation and testing sets to reduce overfitting. When compared to existing empirical formulas, the generated formulas consistently record higher R2 scores.
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spelling doaj.art-9b930670c33643e6a0471d50cb85c8ab2023-11-02T13:36:37ZengTaylor & Francis GroupApplied Artificial Intelligence0883-95141087-65452022-12-0136110.1080/08839514.2021.20017342001734Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic ProgrammingKaya Oğuz0Aslı Bor1Izmir University of EconomicsIzmir University of EconomicsThe physics of local scour around bridge piers is fairly complex because of multiple forces acting on it. Existing empirical formulas cannot cover all scenarios and soft computing methods require ever greater amounts of data to cover all cases with a single formula or a neural network. The approach proposed in this study brings together observations from over 40 studies, grouping similar observations with hierarchical clustering, and using genetic programming with adaptive operators to evolve formulas specific to each cluster to predict the scour depth. The resulting formulas are made available along with a basic web-based user interface that finds the closest cluster for newly presented data and finds the scour depth using the formula for that cluster. All formulas have R2 scores over 0.8 and have been validated with validation and testing sets to reduce overfitting. When compared to existing empirical formulas, the generated formulas consistently record higher R2 scores.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08839514.2021.2001734
spellingShingle Kaya Oğuz
Aslı Bor
Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming
Applied Artificial Intelligence
title Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming
title_full Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming
title_fullStr Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming
title_short Prediction of Local Scour around Bridge Piers Using Hierarchical Clustering and Adaptive Genetic Programming
title_sort prediction of local scour around bridge piers using hierarchical clustering and adaptive genetic programming
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08839514.2021.2001734
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AT aslıbor predictionoflocalscouraroundbridgepiersusinghierarchicalclusteringandadaptivegeneticprogramming