Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches

one of the methods for developing foreign trade in each country is the precise understanding of the commercial economic potential of major partners and ways of improving the volume and composition of foreign trade, including exports and imports. on this basis, in this study to examine the commercial...

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Main Authors: Yousra Khadiv, Heshmatolah Asgari
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2020-05-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_4560_e34220e2d0b9c3875e42fd8740fff3bc.pdf
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author Yousra Khadiv
Heshmatolah Asgari
author_facet Yousra Khadiv
Heshmatolah Asgari
author_sort Yousra Khadiv
collection DOAJ
description one of the methods for developing foreign trade in each country is the precise understanding of the commercial economic potential of major partners and ways of improving the volume and composition of foreign trade, including exports and imports. on this basis, in this study to examine the commercial potential between iran and member states of the D8 (eight islamic countries developing) during the 1992 - 2016 model of gravity model, the dynamic spatial method (sgmm) is chosen as the most appropriate method of estimation. the results show that the gross domestic product coefficient (gdp) and trade partner countries are positive and therefore, the gross domestic product as a measure of the economic size of countries has a direct impact on their bilateral trade. The geographic distance coefficient was seen as a measure of negative transportation costs, which indicates that the greater the distance between the capital of countries, the degree of bilateral trade is reduced. the coefficient of the SAARC and ASEAN is positive and significant, which indicates that Iran's membership in these countries increases the trade potential of this country. Also, the spatial Rho coefficient has been negative, implying a negative spatial dependence between the D8 countries. The results of the trade potential estimation show that the total trade potential of Iran with D8 has been 2398.47977 billion dollars the period under review, of which only 1400 billion dollars has been realized.
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spelling doaj.art-9b9ab15fc3514e38b9e9a6fa7fa80ccb2024-02-23T18:41:11ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502020-05-01529511710.22075/jem.2020.20278.14594560Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approachesYousra Khadiv0Heshmatolah Asgari1Master of Economics, Department of Economics, University of IlamAssociate Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, University of Ilamone of the methods for developing foreign trade in each country is the precise understanding of the commercial economic potential of major partners and ways of improving the volume and composition of foreign trade, including exports and imports. on this basis, in this study to examine the commercial potential between iran and member states of the D8 (eight islamic countries developing) during the 1992 - 2016 model of gravity model, the dynamic spatial method (sgmm) is chosen as the most appropriate method of estimation. the results show that the gross domestic product coefficient (gdp) and trade partner countries are positive and therefore, the gross domestic product as a measure of the economic size of countries has a direct impact on their bilateral trade. The geographic distance coefficient was seen as a measure of negative transportation costs, which indicates that the greater the distance between the capital of countries, the degree of bilateral trade is reduced. the coefficient of the SAARC and ASEAN is positive and significant, which indicates that Iran's membership in these countries increases the trade potential of this country. Also, the spatial Rho coefficient has been negative, implying a negative spatial dependence between the D8 countries. The results of the trade potential estimation show that the total trade potential of Iran with D8 has been 2398.47977 billion dollars the period under review, of which only 1400 billion dollars has been realized.https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_4560_e34220e2d0b9c3875e42fd8740fff3bc.pdftrade potentiald8 groupsgmm methodgravity model
spellingShingle Yousra Khadiv
Heshmatolah Asgari
Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
trade potential
d8 group
sgmm method
gravity model
title Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches
title_full Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches
title_fullStr Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches
title_full_unstemmed Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches
title_short Application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market: Comparison between static and dynamic approaches
title_sort application of futures in calculating optimal hedge ratio in crude oil market comparison between static and dynamic approaches
topic trade potential
d8 group
sgmm method
gravity model
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_4560_e34220e2d0b9c3875e42fd8740fff3bc.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT yousrakhadiv applicationoffuturesincalculatingoptimalhedgeratioincrudeoilmarketcomparisonbetweenstaticanddynamicapproaches
AT heshmatolahasgari applicationoffuturesincalculatingoptimalhedgeratioincrudeoilmarketcomparisonbetweenstaticanddynamicapproaches