Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis

Abstract Background Air pollution and pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) are still serious worldwide problems, especially in areas of developing countries. Whether there is an association between high ambient air pollutant concentrations and PTB has not been fully explored. Methods Bayesian spatial-tempor...

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Main Authors: Fuqiang Liu, Zhixia Zhang, Hongying Chen, Shaofa Nie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-05-01
Series:Environmental Health
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12940-020-00604-y
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author Fuqiang Liu
Zhixia Zhang
Hongying Chen
Shaofa Nie
author_facet Fuqiang Liu
Zhixia Zhang
Hongying Chen
Shaofa Nie
author_sort Fuqiang Liu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Air pollution and pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) are still serious worldwide problems, especially in areas of developing countries. Whether there is an association between high ambient air pollutant concentrations and PTB has not been fully explored. Methods Bayesian spatial-temporal models were constructed to analyse the association between ambient air pollutants (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters of ≤10 μm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)) and PTB incidence, adjusting for socioeconomic covariates. We collected data on pulmonary TB, ambient air pollution (PM10, SO2 and NO2) concentrations and socioeconomic covariates from 17 prefectures in the central Chinese province of Hubei between Jan 1, 2006, and Dec 31, 2015. Results For every annual 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2, the relative risk (RR) of PTB incidence was 1.046 (95% credible interval [CI], 1.038–1.054) in the study area. Moreover, we found positive associations with each annual 10 μg/m3 increase in ambient air pollutants (PM10, SO2 and NO2) in females but only with SO2 in males. A significant association for each 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2 was observed in all the age groups, with a significant association for PM10 only in children under 14 years of age. A significant response relationship was also observed at a 0–1 month moving average lag for each 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2. Conclusions High ambient air pollution concentrations in areas of developing countries might increase the risk of regional PTB incidence, especially for women and young people. Precautions and protective measures and efforts to reduce ambient air pollutant concentrations should be strengthened in developing countries.
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spelling doaj.art-9bb3ab1ddaf14b3d88327c9864a90a1e2022-12-21T19:39:35ZengBMCEnvironmental Health1476-069X2020-05-0119111010.1186/s12940-020-00604-yAssociations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysisFuqiang Liu0Zhixia Zhang1Hongying Chen2Shaofa Nie3Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and TechnologyWuchang University of TechnologyHubei Centre for Disease Prevention and ControlDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and TechnologyAbstract Background Air pollution and pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) are still serious worldwide problems, especially in areas of developing countries. Whether there is an association between high ambient air pollutant concentrations and PTB has not been fully explored. Methods Bayesian spatial-temporal models were constructed to analyse the association between ambient air pollutants (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters of ≤10 μm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2)) and PTB incidence, adjusting for socioeconomic covariates. We collected data on pulmonary TB, ambient air pollution (PM10, SO2 and NO2) concentrations and socioeconomic covariates from 17 prefectures in the central Chinese province of Hubei between Jan 1, 2006, and Dec 31, 2015. Results For every annual 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2, the relative risk (RR) of PTB incidence was 1.046 (95% credible interval [CI], 1.038–1.054) in the study area. Moreover, we found positive associations with each annual 10 μg/m3 increase in ambient air pollutants (PM10, SO2 and NO2) in females but only with SO2 in males. A significant association for each 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2 was observed in all the age groups, with a significant association for PM10 only in children under 14 years of age. A significant response relationship was also observed at a 0–1 month moving average lag for each 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2. Conclusions High ambient air pollution concentrations in areas of developing countries might increase the risk of regional PTB incidence, especially for women and young people. Precautions and protective measures and efforts to reduce ambient air pollutant concentrations should be strengthened in developing countries.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12940-020-00604-yPulmonary tuberculosisAir pollutantsSpatial-temporal analysis
spellingShingle Fuqiang Liu
Zhixia Zhang
Hongying Chen
Shaofa Nie
Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis
Environmental Health
Pulmonary tuberculosis
Air pollutants
Spatial-temporal analysis
title Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis
title_full Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis
title_fullStr Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis
title_full_unstemmed Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis
title_short Associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central Chinese province of Hubei: a Bayesian spatial-temporal analysis
title_sort associations of ambient air pollutants with regional pulmonary tuberculosis incidence in the central chinese province of hubei a bayesian spatial temporal analysis
topic Pulmonary tuberculosis
Air pollutants
Spatial-temporal analysis
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12940-020-00604-y
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