A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder

PurposeTo establish a predictive model for upper urinary tract damage (UUTD) in children with neurogenic bladder (NB) and verify its efficacy.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted that consisted of a training cohort with 167 NB patients and a validation cohort with 100 NB children. The clinical...

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Main Authors: Qi Li, Miao Cai, Qingsong Pu, Shengde Wu, Xing Liu, Tao Lin, Dawei He, Jianguo Wen, Guanghui Wei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-12-01
Series:Frontiers in Pediatrics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2022.1050013/full
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author Qi Li
Qi Li
Miao Cai
Miao Cai
Qingsong Pu
Shengde Wu
Shengde Wu
Xing Liu
Xing Liu
Tao Lin
Tao Lin
Dawei He
Dawei He
Jianguo Wen
Guanghui Wei
Guanghui Wei
author_facet Qi Li
Qi Li
Miao Cai
Miao Cai
Qingsong Pu
Shengde Wu
Shengde Wu
Xing Liu
Xing Liu
Tao Lin
Tao Lin
Dawei He
Dawei He
Jianguo Wen
Guanghui Wei
Guanghui Wei
author_sort Qi Li
collection DOAJ
description PurposeTo establish a predictive model for upper urinary tract damage (UUTD) in children with neurogenic bladder (NB) and verify its efficacy.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted that consisted of a training cohort with 167 NB patients and a validation cohort with 100 NB children. The clinical data of the two groups were compared first, and then univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed on the training cohort to identify predictors and develop the nomogram. The accuracy and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were verified by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analyses.ResultsThere were no significant differences in other parameters between the training and validation cohorts except for age (all P > 0.05). Recurrent urinary tract infection, bladder compliance, detrusor leak point pressure, overactive bladder and clean intermittent catheterization were identified as predictors and assembled into the nomogram. The nomogram showed good discrimination with the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in the training cohort (0.806, 95% CI: 0.737–0.874) and validation cohort (0.831, 95% CI: 0.753–0.0.909). The calibration curve showed that the nomograms were well calibrated, with no significant difference between the predicted and observed probabilities. Decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram has good clinical applicability.ConclusionThis study presents an effective nomogram incorporating five clinical characteristics that can be conveniently applied to assess NB children' risk of progressing to UUTD.
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spelling doaj.art-9bd3e2375a3140d48ca3d3d8784ae15e2022-12-22T04:40:51ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Pediatrics2296-23602022-12-011010.3389/fped.2022.10500131050013A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladderQi Li0Qi Li1Miao Cai2Miao Cai3Qingsong Pu4Shengde Wu5Shengde Wu6Xing Liu7Xing Liu8Tao Lin9Tao Lin10Dawei He11Dawei He12Jianguo Wen13Guanghui Wei14Guanghui Wei15Department of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaHenan Joint International Pediatric Urodynamic Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaHenan Joint International Pediatric Urodynamic Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaChongqing Key Laboratory of Children Urogenital Development and Tissue Engineering, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatrics, Chongqing, ChinaPurposeTo establish a predictive model for upper urinary tract damage (UUTD) in children with neurogenic bladder (NB) and verify its efficacy.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted that consisted of a training cohort with 167 NB patients and a validation cohort with 100 NB children. The clinical data of the two groups were compared first, and then univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed on the training cohort to identify predictors and develop the nomogram. The accuracy and clinical usefulness of the nomogram were verified by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analyses.ResultsThere were no significant differences in other parameters between the training and validation cohorts except for age (all P > 0.05). Recurrent urinary tract infection, bladder compliance, detrusor leak point pressure, overactive bladder and clean intermittent catheterization were identified as predictors and assembled into the nomogram. The nomogram showed good discrimination with the area under the ROC curve (AUC) in the training cohort (0.806, 95% CI: 0.737–0.874) and validation cohort (0.831, 95% CI: 0.753–0.0.909). The calibration curve showed that the nomograms were well calibrated, with no significant difference between the predicted and observed probabilities. Decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram has good clinical applicability.ConclusionThis study presents an effective nomogram incorporating five clinical characteristics that can be conveniently applied to assess NB children' risk of progressing to UUTD.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2022.1050013/fullchildneurogenic bladderupper urinary tract damagenomogramlogistic regression
spellingShingle Qi Li
Qi Li
Miao Cai
Miao Cai
Qingsong Pu
Shengde Wu
Shengde Wu
Xing Liu
Xing Liu
Tao Lin
Tao Lin
Dawei He
Dawei He
Jianguo Wen
Guanghui Wei
Guanghui Wei
A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
Frontiers in Pediatrics
child
neurogenic bladder
upper urinary tract damage
nomogram
logistic regression
title A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
title_full A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
title_fullStr A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
title_full_unstemmed A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
title_short A nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
title_sort nomogram for predicting upper urinary tract damage risk in children with neurogenic bladder
topic child
neurogenic bladder
upper urinary tract damage
nomogram
logistic regression
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2022.1050013/full
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