Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data

Abstract We estimated mortality and economic loss attributable to PM2·5 air pollution exposure in 429 counties of Iran in 2018. Ambient PM2.5-related deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). According to the ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the annual m...

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Main Authors: Sasan Faridi, Reza Bayat, Aaron J. Cohen, Ensieh Sharafkhani, Jeffrey R. Brook, Sadegh Niazi, Mansour Shamsipour, Heresh Amini, Kazem Naddafi, Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-08-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-18613-x
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author Sasan Faridi
Reza Bayat
Aaron J. Cohen
Ensieh Sharafkhani
Jeffrey R. Brook
Sadegh Niazi
Mansour Shamsipour
Heresh Amini
Kazem Naddafi
Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand
author_facet Sasan Faridi
Reza Bayat
Aaron J. Cohen
Ensieh Sharafkhani
Jeffrey R. Brook
Sadegh Niazi
Mansour Shamsipour
Heresh Amini
Kazem Naddafi
Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand
author_sort Sasan Faridi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We estimated mortality and economic loss attributable to PM2·5 air pollution exposure in 429 counties of Iran in 2018. Ambient PM2.5-related deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). According to the ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the annual mean population-weighted PM2·5 concentrations for Iran were 30.1 and 38.6 μg m−3, respectively. We estimated that long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 contributed to 49,303 (95% confidence interval (CI) 40,914–57,379) deaths in adults ≥ 25 yr. from all-natural causes based on ground monitored data and 58,873 (95% CI 49,024–68,287) deaths using satellite-based models for PM2.5. The crude death rate and the age-standardized death rate per 100,000 population for age group ≥ 25 year due to ground-monitored PM2.5 data versus satellite-based exposure estimates was 97 (95% CI 81–113) versus 116 (95% CI 97–135) and 125 (95% CI 104–145) versus 149 (95% CI 124–173), respectively. For ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5-total mortality was approximately 10,713 (95% CI 8890–12,467) and 12,792.1 (95% CI 10,652.0–14,837.6) million USD, equivalent to nearly 3.7% (95% CI 3.06–4.29) and 4.3% (95% CI 3.6–4.5.0) of the total gross domestic product in Iran in 2018.
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spelling doaj.art-9beb9848452144c4bfebe29621af39072022-12-22T01:36:31ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-08-0112111210.1038/s41598-022-18613-xHealth burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite dataSasan Faridi0Reza Bayat1Aaron J. Cohen2Ensieh Sharafkhani3Jeffrey R. Brook4Sadegh Niazi5Mansour Shamsipour6Heresh Amini7Kazem Naddafi8Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand9Center for Air Pollution Research (CAPR), Institute for Environmental Research (IER), Tehran University of Medical SciencesTehran Urban Planning and Research Center, Tehran MunicipalityInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of WashingtonSchool of Environment, College of Engineering, University of TehranDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of TorontoInternational Laboratory for Air Quality and Health (ILAQH), School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Faculty of Science, Queensland University of Technology (QUT)Department of Research Methodology and Data Analysis, Institute for Environmental Research (IER), Tehran University of Medical SciencesDepartment of Public Health, University of CopenhagenCenter for Air Pollution Research (CAPR), Institute for Environmental Research (IER), Tehran University of Medical SciencesCenter for Air Pollution Research (CAPR), Institute for Environmental Research (IER), Tehran University of Medical SciencesAbstract We estimated mortality and economic loss attributable to PM2·5 air pollution exposure in 429 counties of Iran in 2018. Ambient PM2.5-related deaths were estimated using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM). According to the ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the annual mean population-weighted PM2·5 concentrations for Iran were 30.1 and 38.6 μg m−3, respectively. We estimated that long-term exposure to ambient PM2.5 contributed to 49,303 (95% confidence interval (CI) 40,914–57,379) deaths in adults ≥ 25 yr. from all-natural causes based on ground monitored data and 58,873 (95% CI 49,024–68,287) deaths using satellite-based models for PM2.5. The crude death rate and the age-standardized death rate per 100,000 population for age group ≥ 25 year due to ground-monitored PM2.5 data versus satellite-based exposure estimates was 97 (95% CI 81–113) versus 116 (95% CI 97–135) and 125 (95% CI 104–145) versus 149 (95% CI 124–173), respectively. For ground-monitored and satellite-based PM2.5 data, the economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5-total mortality was approximately 10,713 (95% CI 8890–12,467) and 12,792.1 (95% CI 10,652.0–14,837.6) million USD, equivalent to nearly 3.7% (95% CI 3.06–4.29) and 4.3% (95% CI 3.6–4.5.0) of the total gross domestic product in Iran in 2018.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-18613-x
spellingShingle Sasan Faridi
Reza Bayat
Aaron J. Cohen
Ensieh Sharafkhani
Jeffrey R. Brook
Sadegh Niazi
Mansour Shamsipour
Heresh Amini
Kazem Naddafi
Mohammad Sadegh Hassanvand
Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
Scientific Reports
title Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
title_full Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
title_fullStr Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
title_full_unstemmed Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
title_short Health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient PM2.5 in Iran based on the ground and satellite data
title_sort health burden and economic loss attributable to ambient pm2 5 in iran based on the ground and satellite data
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-18613-x
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