Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys

Future direct imaging missions similar to the HabEx and LUVOIR mission concepts aim to catalog and characterize Earth-mass analogs around nearby stars. The exoplanet yield of these missions will be dependent on the frequency of Earth-like planets, and potentially the a priori knowledge of which star...

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Main Authors: Patrick D Newman, Peter Plavchan, Jennifer A. Burt, Johanna Teske, Eric E. Mamajek, Stephanie Leifer, B. Scott Gaudi, Gary Blackwood, Rhonda Morgan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:The Astronomical Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/acad07
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author Patrick D Newman
Peter Plavchan
Jennifer A. Burt
Johanna Teske
Eric E. Mamajek
Stephanie Leifer
B. Scott Gaudi
Gary Blackwood
Rhonda Morgan
author_facet Patrick D Newman
Peter Plavchan
Jennifer A. Burt
Johanna Teske
Eric E. Mamajek
Stephanie Leifer
B. Scott Gaudi
Gary Blackwood
Rhonda Morgan
author_sort Patrick D Newman
collection DOAJ
description Future direct imaging missions similar to the HabEx and LUVOIR mission concepts aim to catalog and characterize Earth-mass analogs around nearby stars. The exoplanet yield of these missions will be dependent on the frequency of Earth-like planets, and potentially the a priori knowledge of which stars specifically host suitable planetary systems. Ground- or space-based radial velocity surveys can potentially perform the pre-selection of targets and assist in the optimization of observation times, as opposed to an uninformed direct imaging survey. In this paper, we present our framework for simulating future radial velocity surveys of nearby stars in support of direct imaging missions. We generate lists of exposure times, observation time-series, and radial velocity time-series given a direct imaging target list. We generate simulated surveys for a proposed set of telescopes and precise radial velocity spectrographs spanning a set of plausible global-network architectures that may be considered for next-generation extremely precise radial velocity surveys. We also develop figures of merit for observation frequency and planet detection sensitivity, and compare these across architectures. From these, we draw conclusions, given our stated assumptions and caveats, to optimize the yield of future radial velocity surveys supporting direct imaging missions. We find that all of our considered surveys obtain sufficient numbers of precise observations to meet the minimum theoretical white noise detection sensitivity for Earth-mass habitable-zone planets. While our detection rates and mass-sensitivity are optimistic, we have margin to explore systematic effects due to stellar activity and correlated noise in future work.
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spelling doaj.art-9c5e83e961ef4982b9a927c1429010232023-09-03T13:07:52ZengIOP PublishingThe Astronomical Journal1538-38812023-01-01165415110.3847/1538-3881/acad07Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity SurveysPatrick D Newman0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3848-3418Peter Plavchan1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8864-1667Jennifer A. Burt2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0040-6815Johanna Teske3Eric E. Mamajek4https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2008-1488Stephanie Leifer5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8980-7825B. Scott Gaudi6https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0395-9869Gary Blackwood7Rhonda Morgan8Department of Physics and Astronomy, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive , MSN 3F3, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA ; pnewman8@gmu.eduDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive , MSN 3F3, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA ; pnewman8@gmu.eduJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USACarnegie Institution for Science, Earth and Planets Laboratory , 5241 Broad Branch Road, NW, Washington, DC 20015, USAJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USAThe Aerospace Corporation , 200 S Los Robles Ave #150, Pasadena, CA 91101, USADepartment of Astronomy, The Ohio State University , 140 W. 18th Avenue, Columbus, OH 43210, USAJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USAJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, USAFuture direct imaging missions similar to the HabEx and LUVOIR mission concepts aim to catalog and characterize Earth-mass analogs around nearby stars. The exoplanet yield of these missions will be dependent on the frequency of Earth-like planets, and potentially the a priori knowledge of which stars specifically host suitable planetary systems. Ground- or space-based radial velocity surveys can potentially perform the pre-selection of targets and assist in the optimization of observation times, as opposed to an uninformed direct imaging survey. In this paper, we present our framework for simulating future radial velocity surveys of nearby stars in support of direct imaging missions. We generate lists of exposure times, observation time-series, and radial velocity time-series given a direct imaging target list. We generate simulated surveys for a proposed set of telescopes and precise radial velocity spectrographs spanning a set of plausible global-network architectures that may be considered for next-generation extremely precise radial velocity surveys. We also develop figures of merit for observation frequency and planet detection sensitivity, and compare these across architectures. From these, we draw conclusions, given our stated assumptions and caveats, to optimize the yield of future radial velocity surveys supporting direct imaging missions. We find that all of our considered surveys obtain sufficient numbers of precise observations to meet the minimum theoretical white noise detection sensitivity for Earth-mass habitable-zone planets. While our detection rates and mass-sensitivity are optimistic, we have margin to explore systematic effects due to stellar activity and correlated noise in future work.https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/acad07Radial velocityExoplanet detection methodsAstronomical simulations
spellingShingle Patrick D Newman
Peter Plavchan
Jennifer A. Burt
Johanna Teske
Eric E. Mamajek
Stephanie Leifer
B. Scott Gaudi
Gary Blackwood
Rhonda Morgan
Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys
The Astronomical Journal
Radial velocity
Exoplanet detection methods
Astronomical simulations
title Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys
title_full Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys
title_fullStr Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys
title_full_unstemmed Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys
title_short Simulations for Planning Next-generation Exoplanet Radial Velocity Surveys
title_sort simulations for planning next generation exoplanet radial velocity surveys
topic Radial velocity
Exoplanet detection methods
Astronomical simulations
url https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/acad07
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