Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran

Climate variability is the main reason for drought and water scarcity. Annual rainfall trend was investigated in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran using 79 climatology and synoptic stations with 36 years of data records. Monthly and annual precipitation data from homogeneity tests were applied and...

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Main Authors: Tayeb Raziei, Peyman Daneshkar Arasteh, Bahram Saghafian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Water and Wastewater Consulting Engineers Research Development 2005-06-01
Series:آب و فاضلاب
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.wwjournal.ir/article_2141_eadd205158a126c277c7b9e21d591b08.pdf
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author Tayeb Raziei
Peyman Daneshkar Arasteh
Bahram Saghafian
author_facet Tayeb Raziei
Peyman Daneshkar Arasteh
Bahram Saghafian
author_sort Tayeb Raziei
collection DOAJ
description Climate variability is the main reason for drought and water scarcity. Annual rainfall trend was investigated in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran using 79 climatology and synoptic stations with 36 years of data records. Monthly and annual precipitation data from homogeneity tests were applied and discontinuities were adjusted in non-homogeneous stations using the annual nonparametric Mann-Kendal statistic test. The results showed no evidence of climate change in the study area. Although many stations showed negative trends indicating decreasing precipitation, this trend was not statistically significant at 95 percent significant level. The results indicate that the southeastern part of Iran has recently experienced a climate change of negative precipitation trend. Mapping trend statistics did not show any geographical orientation. Considering the global warming and rising temperatures, evident in the study area, the adverse effects of decreasing precipitation on temperature, the adverse effects of decreasing precipitation in conjunction with significant positive trends in temperature rise may lead to severe ecological and economic problems in the study area. The frequently occurring droughts in this region can be due to increasing temperature and decreasing precipitation.
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spelling doaj.art-9cd226d280bf47f082113e6bf016b65e2022-12-21T23:35:34ZengWater and Wastewater Consulting Engineers Research Developmentآب و فاضلاب1024-59362383-09052005-06-0116273812141Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern IranTayeb Raziei0Peyman Daneshkar Arasteh1Bahram Saghafian2PhD student of Climatology, University of Tehran, and Climatologist, Soil Conservation and Watershed Management Institute (SCWMRI), Tehran, Iran; tayebrazi@scwmri.ac.irAssistant Professor, SCWMRIAssociate Professor, SCWMRIClimate variability is the main reason for drought and water scarcity. Annual rainfall trend was investigated in arid and semi-arid regions of Iran using 79 climatology and synoptic stations with 36 years of data records. Monthly and annual precipitation data from homogeneity tests were applied and discontinuities were adjusted in non-homogeneous stations using the annual nonparametric Mann-Kendal statistic test. The results showed no evidence of climate change in the study area. Although many stations showed negative trends indicating decreasing precipitation, this trend was not statistically significant at 95 percent significant level. The results indicate that the southeastern part of Iran has recently experienced a climate change of negative precipitation trend. Mapping trend statistics did not show any geographical orientation. Considering the global warming and rising temperatures, evident in the study area, the adverse effects of decreasing precipitation on temperature, the adverse effects of decreasing precipitation in conjunction with significant positive trends in temperature rise may lead to severe ecological and economic problems in the study area. The frequently occurring droughts in this region can be due to increasing temperature and decreasing precipitation.http://www.wwjournal.ir/article_2141_eadd205158a126c277c7b9e21d591b08.pdfRainfall VariabilityClimate changeTrendArid and Semi-arid RegionsIran
spellingShingle Tayeb Raziei
Peyman Daneshkar Arasteh
Bahram Saghafian
Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran
آب و فاضلاب
Rainfall Variability
Climate change
Trend
Arid and Semi-arid Regions
Iran
title Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran
title_full Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran
title_fullStr Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran
title_full_unstemmed Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran
title_short Annual Rainfall Trend Analysis in Arid and Semi-arid Regions of Central and Eastern Iran
title_sort annual rainfall trend analysis in arid and semi arid regions of central and eastern iran
topic Rainfall Variability
Climate change
Trend
Arid and Semi-arid Regions
Iran
url http://www.wwjournal.ir/article_2141_eadd205158a126c277c7b9e21d591b08.pdf
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