Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015

Geostatistical Analyst is a set of advanced tools for analysing spatial data and generating surface models using statistical and deterministic methods available in ESRI ArcMap software. It enables interpolation models to be created on the basis of data measured at chosen points. The software also pr...

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Main Authors: Marek Ogryzek, Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk, Paweł Wielgosz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-05-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/10/2840
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author Marek Ogryzek
Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk
Paweł Wielgosz
author_facet Marek Ogryzek
Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk
Paweł Wielgosz
author_sort Marek Ogryzek
collection DOAJ
description Geostatistical Analyst is a set of advanced tools for analysing spatial data and generating surface models using statistical and deterministic methods available in ESRI ArcMap software. It enables interpolation models to be created on the basis of data measured at chosen points. The software also provides tools that enable analyses of the data variability, setting data limits and checking global trends, as well as creating forecast maps, estimating standard error and probability, making various surface visualisations, and analysing spatial autocorrelation and correlation between multiple data sets. The data can be interpolated using deterministic methods providing surface continuity, and also by stochastic techniques like kriging, based on a statistical model considering data autocorrelation and providing expected interpolation errors. These properties of Geostatistical Analyst make it a valuable tool for modelling and analysing the Earth’s ionosphere. Our research aims to test its applicability for studying the ionosphere, and ionospheric disturbances in particular. As raw source data, we use Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)-derived ionospheric total electron content. This paper compares ionosphere models (maps) developed using various interpolation methods available in Geostatistical Analyst. The comparison is based on several indicators that can provide the statistical characteristics of an interpolation error. In this contribution, we use our own method, the parametric assessment of the quality of estimation (MPQE). Here, we present analyses and a discussion of the modelling results for various states of the ionosphere: On the disturbed day of the St Patrick’s Day geomagnetic storm of 2015, one quiet day before the storm and one day after its occurrence, reflecting the ionosphere recovery phase. Finally, the optimal interpolation method is selected and presented.
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spelling doaj.art-9ce331b6107c44548c9ec1eb701502f42023-11-20T00:42:23ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202020-05-012010284010.3390/s20102840Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015Marek Ogryzek0Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk1Paweł Wielgosz2Faculty of Geoengineering, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-719 Olsztyn, PolandFaculty of Geoengineering, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-719 Olsztyn, PolandFaculty of Geoengineering, University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, 10-719 Olsztyn, PolandGeostatistical Analyst is a set of advanced tools for analysing spatial data and generating surface models using statistical and deterministic methods available in ESRI ArcMap software. It enables interpolation models to be created on the basis of data measured at chosen points. The software also provides tools that enable analyses of the data variability, setting data limits and checking global trends, as well as creating forecast maps, estimating standard error and probability, making various surface visualisations, and analysing spatial autocorrelation and correlation between multiple data sets. The data can be interpolated using deterministic methods providing surface continuity, and also by stochastic techniques like kriging, based on a statistical model considering data autocorrelation and providing expected interpolation errors. These properties of Geostatistical Analyst make it a valuable tool for modelling and analysing the Earth’s ionosphere. Our research aims to test its applicability for studying the ionosphere, and ionospheric disturbances in particular. As raw source data, we use Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS)-derived ionospheric total electron content. This paper compares ionosphere models (maps) developed using various interpolation methods available in Geostatistical Analyst. The comparison is based on several indicators that can provide the statistical characteristics of an interpolation error. In this contribution, we use our own method, the parametric assessment of the quality of estimation (MPQE). Here, we present analyses and a discussion of the modelling results for various states of the ionosphere: On the disturbed day of the St Patrick’s Day geomagnetic storm of 2015, one quiet day before the storm and one day after its occurrence, reflecting the ionosphere recovery phase. Finally, the optimal interpolation method is selected and presented.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/10/2840ionosphereTECGNSSgeostatistical methodsMPQE
spellingShingle Marek Ogryzek
Anna Krypiak-Gregorczyk
Paweł Wielgosz
Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015
Sensors
ionosphere
TEC
GNSS
geostatistical methods
MPQE
title Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015
title_full Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015
title_fullStr Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015
title_short Optimal Geostatistical Methods for Interpolation of the Ionosphere: A Case Study on the St Patrick’s Day Storm of 2015
title_sort optimal geostatistical methods for interpolation of the ionosphere a case study on the st patrick s day storm of 2015
topic ionosphere
TEC
GNSS
geostatistical methods
MPQE
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/20/10/2840
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