Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation

Machine learning (ML) is one of the emerging domains in classification and prediction. It is important to understand the responses of individuals in crowd during an earthquake emergency for making appropriate earthquake emergency management plan. Our research is focused on predicting the behaviour o...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Ehtesham Tahir, Nadir Abbas, Muhammad Faisal Hayat, Muhammad Nasir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mehran University of Engineering and Technology 2022-07-01
Series:Mehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology
Online Access:https://publications.muet.edu.pk/index.php/muetrj/article/view/2514
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author Muhammad Ehtesham Tahir
Nadir Abbas
Muhammad Faisal Hayat
Muhammad Nasir
author_facet Muhammad Ehtesham Tahir
Nadir Abbas
Muhammad Faisal Hayat
Muhammad Nasir
author_sort Muhammad Ehtesham Tahir
collection DOAJ
description Machine learning (ML) is one of the emerging domains in classification and prediction. It is important to understand the responses of individuals in crowd during an earthquake emergency for making appropriate earthquake emergency management plan. Our research is focused on predicting the behaviour of individuals in a crowd during Catastrophic Situation. For this purpose, intended and actual behavioural response of crowd is collected by conducting a series of surveys. The attributes that are selected for result prediction are gender, age, affiliation, health status, training level, nearby exit, earthquake intensity, earthquake location, environmental status, and individual’s response. The dataset thus collected is divided into two crowds, Crowd 1 shows the intended behaviour whereas Crowd 2 shows actual. The decision tree, k-nearest neighbour, Naïve Bayes and neural network machine learning algorithms are used for predicting results. The results are analysed by using Rapid Miner as data mining tool. The dataset is split into two partitions. By applying randomization techniques like simple random sampling, shuffle random sampling, etc. we have trained and tested the machine learning algorithms. The results of this research will be a source of help in understanding critical details about crowd behaviour in earthquake emergency.
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spelling doaj.art-9d2f8f6b9d564026b24c5a303624cc202022-12-22T02:35:27ZengMehran University of Engineering and TechnologyMehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology0254-78212413-72192022-07-0141310411210.22581/muet1982.2203.102514Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situationMuhammad Ehtesham Tahir0Nadir Abbas1Muhammad Faisal Hayat2Muhammad Nasir3Department of Computer Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore PakistanDepartment of Computer Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore PakistanDepartment of Computer Engineering, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore PakistanDepartment of Computer Engineering, The University of Lahore, Lahore PakistanMachine learning (ML) is one of the emerging domains in classification and prediction. It is important to understand the responses of individuals in crowd during an earthquake emergency for making appropriate earthquake emergency management plan. Our research is focused on predicting the behaviour of individuals in a crowd during Catastrophic Situation. For this purpose, intended and actual behavioural response of crowd is collected by conducting a series of surveys. The attributes that are selected for result prediction are gender, age, affiliation, health status, training level, nearby exit, earthquake intensity, earthquake location, environmental status, and individual’s response. The dataset thus collected is divided into two crowds, Crowd 1 shows the intended behaviour whereas Crowd 2 shows actual. The decision tree, k-nearest neighbour, Naïve Bayes and neural network machine learning algorithms are used for predicting results. The results are analysed by using Rapid Miner as data mining tool. The dataset is split into two partitions. By applying randomization techniques like simple random sampling, shuffle random sampling, etc. we have trained and tested the machine learning algorithms. The results of this research will be a source of help in understanding critical details about crowd behaviour in earthquake emergency.https://publications.muet.edu.pk/index.php/muetrj/article/view/2514
spellingShingle Muhammad Ehtesham Tahir
Nadir Abbas
Muhammad Faisal Hayat
Muhammad Nasir
Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
Mehran University Research Journal of Engineering and Technology
title Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
title_full Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
title_fullStr Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
title_full_unstemmed Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
title_short Statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
title_sort statistical analysis of crowd behaviour in catastrophic situation
url https://publications.muet.edu.pk/index.php/muetrj/article/view/2514
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AT muhammadfaisalhayat statisticalanalysisofcrowdbehaviourincatastrophicsituation
AT muhammadnasir statisticalanalysisofcrowdbehaviourincatastrophicsituation