Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety

Transit crashes are a serious social problem for any country, with a significant loss of human lives and economic consequences that are difficult to quantify. This article proposes a characterization of the transit crash rate for urban road safety using time series. A quantitative descriptive study...

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Main Authors: Marcos Antonio Espinoza-Mina, Alejandra Mercedes Colina-Vargas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universidad de Antioquia 2023-11-01
Series:Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/353329
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author Marcos Antonio Espinoza-Mina
Alejandra Mercedes Colina-Vargas
author_facet Marcos Antonio Espinoza-Mina
Alejandra Mercedes Colina-Vargas
author_sort Marcos Antonio Espinoza-Mina
collection DOAJ
description Transit crashes are a serious social problem for any country, with a significant loss of human lives and economic consequences that are difficult to quantify. This article proposes a characterization of the transit crash rate for urban road safety using time series. A quantitative descriptive study was conducted, characterizing the variables of each crash extracted from the National Traffic Agency of Ecuador (NTA); the data were processed at a descriptive and predictive level for the city of Guayaquil. The first step was an exploration of the scientific interest of the topic with the processing of bibliographic data taken from Scopus and Web of Science articles. Among the results obtained, there is a growing trend of research related to the evaluation of traffic crash through applied statistics. Every day, approximately 155 people die as a result of a traffic crash. In addition, traffic crashes are analyzed based on three indicators: number of crashes, injuries and onsite fatalities. Finally, an adequate performance is found, with very few differences in the forecast of incidents using three times series models, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). It is expected that this study will be valuable for data analysts and decision makers at the security level to reduce human losses related to these events in urban cities with similar characteristics to the analyzed cases.
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spelling doaj.art-9d399f465ecc4d808d6ff9192f2f257b2023-11-23T13:27:57ZengUniversidad de AntioquiaRevista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia0120-62302422-28442023-11-0110.17533/udea.redin.20231134Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safetyMarcos Antonio Espinoza-Mina0Alejandra Mercedes Colina-Vargas1Universidad EcotecUniversidad Ecotec Transit crashes are a serious social problem for any country, with a significant loss of human lives and economic consequences that are difficult to quantify. This article proposes a characterization of the transit crash rate for urban road safety using time series. A quantitative descriptive study was conducted, characterizing the variables of each crash extracted from the National Traffic Agency of Ecuador (NTA); the data were processed at a descriptive and predictive level for the city of Guayaquil. The first step was an exploration of the scientific interest of the topic with the processing of bibliographic data taken from Scopus and Web of Science articles. Among the results obtained, there is a growing trend of research related to the evaluation of traffic crash through applied statistics. Every day, approximately 155 people die as a result of a traffic crash. In addition, traffic crashes are analyzed based on three indicators: number of crashes, injuries and onsite fatalities. Finally, an adequate performance is found, with very few differences in the forecast of incidents using three times series models, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). It is expected that this study will be valuable for data analysts and decision makers at the security level to reduce human losses related to these events in urban cities with similar characteristics to the analyzed cases. https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/353329data managementtime seriesARIMA modeltraffic controlopen data
spellingShingle Marcos Antonio Espinoza-Mina
Alejandra Mercedes Colina-Vargas
Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
Revista Facultad de Ingeniería Universidad de Antioquia
data management
time series
ARIMA model
traffic control
open data
title Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
title_full Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
title_fullStr Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
title_full_unstemmed Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
title_short Characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
title_sort characterization of traffic accidents for urban road safety
topic data management
time series
ARIMA model
traffic control
open data
url https://revistas.udea.edu.co/index.php/ingenieria/article/view/353329
work_keys_str_mv AT marcosantonioespinozamina characterizationoftrafficaccidentsforurbanroadsafety
AT alejandramercedescolinavargas characterizationoftrafficaccidentsforurbanroadsafety