Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight

The single safety factor criteria for slope stability evaluation, derived from the rigid limit equilibrium method or finite element method (FEM), may not include some important information, especially for steep slopes with complex geological conditions. This paper presents a new reliability method t...

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Main Authors: Zhi-gang Yang, Tong-chun Li, Miao-lin Dai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2009-09-01
Series:Water Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674237015300776
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author Zhi-gang Yang
Tong-chun Li
Miao-lin Dai
author_facet Zhi-gang Yang
Tong-chun Li
Miao-lin Dai
author_sort Zhi-gang Yang
collection DOAJ
description The single safety factor criteria for slope stability evaluation, derived from the rigid limit equilibrium method or finite element method (FEM), may not include some important information, especially for steep slopes with complex geological conditions. This paper presents a new reliability method that uses sample weight analysis. Based on the distribution characteristics of random variables, the minimal sample size of every random variable is extracted according to a small sample t-distribution under a certain expected value, and the weight coefficient of each extracted sample is considered to be its contribution to the random variables. Then, the weight coefficients of the random sample combinations are determined using the Bayes formula, and different sample combinations are taken as the input for slope stability analysis. According to one-to-one mapping between the input sample combination and the output safety coefficient, the reliability index of slope stability can be obtained with the multiplication principle. Slope stability analysis of the left bank of the Baihetan Project is used as an example, and the analysis results show that the present method is reasonable and practicable for the reliability analysis of steep slopes with complex geological conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-9d4c4d73f8914098a1863fb1dcbb5d732022-12-21T17:16:18ZengElsevierWater Science and Engineering1674-23702009-09-0123788610.3882/j.issn.1674-2370.2009.03.008Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weightZhi-gang Yang0Tong-chun Li1Miao-lin Dai2College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P.R. ChinaCollege of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P.R. ChinaCollege of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, P.R. ChinaThe single safety factor criteria for slope stability evaluation, derived from the rigid limit equilibrium method or finite element method (FEM), may not include some important information, especially for steep slopes with complex geological conditions. This paper presents a new reliability method that uses sample weight analysis. Based on the distribution characteristics of random variables, the minimal sample size of every random variable is extracted according to a small sample t-distribution under a certain expected value, and the weight coefficient of each extracted sample is considered to be its contribution to the random variables. Then, the weight coefficients of the random sample combinations are determined using the Bayes formula, and different sample combinations are taken as the input for slope stability analysis. According to one-to-one mapping between the input sample combination and the output safety coefficient, the reliability index of slope stability can be obtained with the multiplication principle. Slope stability analysis of the left bank of the Baihetan Project is used as an example, and the analysis results show that the present method is reasonable and practicable for the reliability analysis of steep slopes with complex geological conditions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674237015300776reliability analysisslope stabilitysample weight coefficientt-distributionBayes formula
spellingShingle Zhi-gang Yang
Tong-chun Li
Miao-lin Dai
Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
Water Science and Engineering
reliability analysis
slope stability
sample weight coefficient
t-distribution
Bayes formula
title Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
title_full Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
title_fullStr Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
title_full_unstemmed Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
title_short Reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
title_sort reliability analysis method for slope stability based on sample weight
topic reliability analysis
slope stability
sample weight coefficient
t-distribution
Bayes formula
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674237015300776
work_keys_str_mv AT zhigangyang reliabilityanalysismethodforslopestabilitybasedonsampleweight
AT tongchunli reliabilityanalysismethodforslopestabilitybasedonsampleweight
AT miaolindai reliabilityanalysismethodforslopestabilitybasedonsampleweight