Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina

Abstract Importance The COVID‐19 pandemic led to reductions in primary care and cancer screening visits, which may delay detection of some cancers. The impact on incidence has not been fully quantified. We examined change in cancer incidence to determine how the COVID‐19 pandemic may have altered th...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sarah J. Nyante, Allison M. Deal, Hillary M. Heiling, Kyung Su Kim, Cherie M. Kuzmiak, Benjamin C. Calhoun, Emily M. Ray
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-04-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.7156
_version_ 1797205655362207744
author Sarah J. Nyante
Allison M. Deal
Hillary M. Heiling
Kyung Su Kim
Cherie M. Kuzmiak
Benjamin C. Calhoun
Emily M. Ray
author_facet Sarah J. Nyante
Allison M. Deal
Hillary M. Heiling
Kyung Su Kim
Cherie M. Kuzmiak
Benjamin C. Calhoun
Emily M. Ray
author_sort Sarah J. Nyante
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Importance The COVID‐19 pandemic led to reductions in primary care and cancer screening visits, which may delay detection of some cancers. The impact on incidence has not been fully quantified. We examined change in cancer incidence to determine how the COVID‐19 pandemic may have altered the characteristics of cancers diagnosed among women. Methods This study included female patients aged ≥18 years and diagnosed with breast (n = 9489), colon (n = 958), pancreatic (n = 669), or uterine (n = 1991) cancer at three hospitals in North Carolina. Using interrupted time series, we compared incidence of cancers diagnosed between March 2020 and November 2020 (during pandemic) with cancers diagnosed between January 2016 and February 2020 (pre‐pandemic). Results During the pandemic, incidence of breast and uterine cancers was significantly lower than expected compared to pre‐pandemic (breast—18%, p = 0.03; uterine −20%, p = 0.05). Proportions of advanced pathologic stage and hormone receptor‐negative breast cancers, and advanced clinical stage and large size uterine cancers were more prevalent during the pandemic. No significant changes in incidence were detected for pancreatic (−20%, p = 0.08) or colon (+14%, p = 0.30) cancers. Conclusion and Relevance In women, the COVID‐19 pandemic resulted in a significant reduction in the incidence of breast and uterine cancers, but not colon or pancreatic cancers. A change in the proportion of poor prognosis breast and uterine cancers suggests that some cancers that otherwise would have been diagnosed at an earlier stage will be detected in later years. Continued analysis of long‐term trends is needed to understand the full impact of the pandemic on cancer incidence and outcomes.
first_indexed 2024-04-24T08:54:34Z
format Article
id doaj.art-9d755f30f757492aa02ebe1a9752070b
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-7634
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-24T08:54:34Z
publishDate 2024-04-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Cancer Medicine
spelling doaj.art-9d755f30f757492aa02ebe1a9752070b2024-04-16T08:48:34ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342024-04-01137n/an/a10.1002/cam4.7156Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North CarolinaSarah J. Nyante0Allison M. Deal1Hillary M. Heiling2Kyung Su Kim3Cherie M. Kuzmiak4Benjamin C. Calhoun5Emily M. Ray6Department of Radiology University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USALineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USALineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USALineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USADepartment of Radiology University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USALineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USALineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chapel Hill North Carolina USAAbstract Importance The COVID‐19 pandemic led to reductions in primary care and cancer screening visits, which may delay detection of some cancers. The impact on incidence has not been fully quantified. We examined change in cancer incidence to determine how the COVID‐19 pandemic may have altered the characteristics of cancers diagnosed among women. Methods This study included female patients aged ≥18 years and diagnosed with breast (n = 9489), colon (n = 958), pancreatic (n = 669), or uterine (n = 1991) cancer at three hospitals in North Carolina. Using interrupted time series, we compared incidence of cancers diagnosed between March 2020 and November 2020 (during pandemic) with cancers diagnosed between January 2016 and February 2020 (pre‐pandemic). Results During the pandemic, incidence of breast and uterine cancers was significantly lower than expected compared to pre‐pandemic (breast—18%, p = 0.03; uterine −20%, p = 0.05). Proportions of advanced pathologic stage and hormone receptor‐negative breast cancers, and advanced clinical stage and large size uterine cancers were more prevalent during the pandemic. No significant changes in incidence were detected for pancreatic (−20%, p = 0.08) or colon (+14%, p = 0.30) cancers. Conclusion and Relevance In women, the COVID‐19 pandemic resulted in a significant reduction in the incidence of breast and uterine cancers, but not colon or pancreatic cancers. A change in the proportion of poor prognosis breast and uterine cancers suggests that some cancers that otherwise would have been diagnosed at an earlier stage will be detected in later years. Continued analysis of long‐term trends is needed to understand the full impact of the pandemic on cancer incidence and outcomes.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.7156breast cancercolon cancerepidemiologypancreatic cancerprognosisuterine cancer
spellingShingle Sarah J. Nyante
Allison M. Deal
Hillary M. Heiling
Kyung Su Kim
Cherie M. Kuzmiak
Benjamin C. Calhoun
Emily M. Ray
Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina
Cancer Medicine
breast cancer
colon cancer
epidemiology
pancreatic cancer
prognosis
uterine cancer
title Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina
title_full Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina
title_fullStr Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina
title_full_unstemmed Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina
title_short Trends in breast, colon, pancreatic, and uterine cancers in women during the COVID‐19 pandemic in North Carolina
title_sort trends in breast colon pancreatic and uterine cancers in women during the covid 19 pandemic in north carolina
topic breast cancer
colon cancer
epidemiology
pancreatic cancer
prognosis
uterine cancer
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.7156
work_keys_str_mv AT sarahjnyante trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina
AT allisonmdeal trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina
AT hillarymheiling trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina
AT kyungsukim trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina
AT cheriemkuzmiak trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina
AT benjaminccalhoun trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina
AT emilymray trendsinbreastcolonpancreaticanduterinecancersinwomenduringthecovid19pandemicinnorthcarolina