Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer

Abstract Background This study aimed to identify multiple endometrial receptivity related factors by applying non-invasive, repeatable multimodal ultrasound methods. Combined with basic clinical data, we further established a practical prediction model for early clinical outcomes in Freeze-thawed Em...

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Main Authors: Qian Zhang, Xiaolong Wang, Yuming Zhang, Haiou Lu, Yuexin Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-08-01
Series:BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-022-04958-8
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author Qian Zhang
Xiaolong Wang
Yuming Zhang
Haiou Lu
Yuexin Yu
author_facet Qian Zhang
Xiaolong Wang
Yuming Zhang
Haiou Lu
Yuexin Yu
author_sort Qian Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background This study aimed to identify multiple endometrial receptivity related factors by applying non-invasive, repeatable multimodal ultrasound methods. Combined with basic clinical data, we further established a practical prediction model for early clinical outcomes in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer (FET). Methods Retrospective analysis of clinical data of infertility patients undergoing FET cycle in our Center from January 2017 to September 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analyses were performed by 500 bootstrap resamplings to assess the determination and clinical value of the nomogram, respectively. Results A total of 2457 FET cycles were included. We developed simple nomograms that predict the early clinical outcomes in FET cycles by using the parameters of age, BMI, type and number of embryos transferred, endometrial thickness, FI, RI, PI and number of endometrial and sub-endometrial blood flow. In the training cohort, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed statistical accuracy (AUC = 0.698), and similar results were shown in the subsequent validation cohort (AUC = 0.699). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical value of this nomogram. Conclusions Our nomogram can predict clinical outcomes and it can be used as a simple, affordable and widely implementable tool to provide guidance and treatment recommendations for FET patients.
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spelling doaj.art-9dab425f73904c4cbed78e6980a45dd12022-12-22T03:59:06ZengBMCBMC Pregnancy and Childbirth1471-23932022-08-0122111510.1186/s12884-022-04958-8Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo TransferQian Zhang0Xiaolong Wang1Yuming Zhang2Haiou Lu3Yuexin Yu4Department of Reproductive Medicine, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenhe DistrictDepartment of Forensic Pathology, School of Forensic Medicine, China Medical UniversityDepartment of Reproductive Medicine, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenhe DistrictDepartment of Reproductive Medicine, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenhe DistrictDepartment of Reproductive Medicine, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command, Shenhe DistrictAbstract Background This study aimed to identify multiple endometrial receptivity related factors by applying non-invasive, repeatable multimodal ultrasound methods. Combined with basic clinical data, we further established a practical prediction model for early clinical outcomes in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer (FET). Methods Retrospective analysis of clinical data of infertility patients undergoing FET cycle in our Center from January 2017 to September 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analyses were performed by 500 bootstrap resamplings to assess the determination and clinical value of the nomogram, respectively. Results A total of 2457 FET cycles were included. We developed simple nomograms that predict the early clinical outcomes in FET cycles by using the parameters of age, BMI, type and number of embryos transferred, endometrial thickness, FI, RI, PI and number of endometrial and sub-endometrial blood flow. In the training cohort, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed statistical accuracy (AUC = 0.698), and similar results were shown in the subsequent validation cohort (AUC = 0.699). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical value of this nomogram. Conclusions Our nomogram can predict clinical outcomes and it can be used as a simple, affordable and widely implementable tool to provide guidance and treatment recommendations for FET patients.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-022-04958-8Clinical pregnancy outcomeNomogramEndometrial receptivityFrozen-thawed embryo transfer
spellingShingle Qian Zhang
Xiaolong Wang
Yuming Zhang
Haiou Lu
Yuexin Yu
Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer
BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
Clinical pregnancy outcome
Nomogram
Endometrial receptivity
Frozen-thawed embryo transfer
title Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer
title_full Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer
title_fullStr Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer
title_full_unstemmed Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer
title_short Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer
title_sort nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in freeze thawed embryo transfer
topic Clinical pregnancy outcome
Nomogram
Endometrial receptivity
Frozen-thawed embryo transfer
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-022-04958-8
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AT yumingzhang nomogrampredictionforthepredictionofclinicalpregnancyinfreezethawedembryotransfer
AT haioulu nomogrampredictionforthepredictionofclinicalpregnancyinfreezethawedembryotransfer
AT yuexinyu nomogrampredictionforthepredictionofclinicalpregnancyinfreezethawedembryotransfer