Can Inflation be Claimed As A Monetary Phenomenon? The Malaysian Experience

The purpose of this study is to empirically re-investigate the money-prices nexus for Malaysia through the cointegration and causality techniques. This study covered the monthly data from 1971:M1 to 2014:M8. The Maki multiple breaks cointegration test suggests that the variables are cointegrated. F...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chor Foon TANG, Ilhan Ozturk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2017-06-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/4655
Description
Summary:The purpose of this study is to empirically re-investigate the money-prices nexus for Malaysia through the cointegration and causality techniques. This study covered the monthly data from 1971:M1 to 2014:M8. The Maki multiple breaks cointegration test suggests that the variables are cointegrated. Furthermore, the MWALD test shows a unidirectional causal relationship run from money supply (M2) to aggregate prices, meaning that only the monetarist's view exist in the Malaysian economy. However, the time-varying causality tests indicate that inflation is not always a monetary phenomenon in Malaysia. Therefore, the contractionary monetary policy may not an effective instrument in managing inflationary behaviour in Malaysia.   Keywords: Cointegration; Inflation; Money; Recursive regression; Rolling regression JEL Classifications: C22; E31; E51
ISSN:2146-4138