Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.

Contraceptive drugs intended for family planning are used by the majority of married or in-union women in almost all regions of the world. The two most prevalent types of hormones associated with contraception are synthetic estrogens and progestins. Hormonal based contraceptives contain a dose of a...

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Main Authors: A Armean Wright, Ghassan N Fayad, James F Selgrade, Mette S Olufsen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2020-06-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007848
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author A Armean Wright
Ghassan N Fayad
James F Selgrade
Mette S Olufsen
author_facet A Armean Wright
Ghassan N Fayad
James F Selgrade
Mette S Olufsen
author_sort A Armean Wright
collection DOAJ
description Contraceptive drugs intended for family planning are used by the majority of married or in-union women in almost all regions of the world. The two most prevalent types of hormones associated with contraception are synthetic estrogens and progestins. Hormonal based contraceptives contain a dose of a synthetic progesterone (progestin) or a combination of a progestin and a synthetic estrogen. In this study we use mathematical modeling to understand better how these contraceptive paradigms prevent ovulation, special focus is on understanding how changes in dose impact hormonal cycling. To explain this phenomenon, we added two autocrine mechanisms essential to achieve contraception within our previous menstrual cycle models. This new model predicts mean daily blood concentrations of key hormones during a contraceptive state achieved by administering progestins, synthetic estrogens, or a combined treatment. Model outputs are compared with data from two clinical trials: one for a progestin only treatment and one for a combined hormonal treatment. Results show that contraception can be achieved with synthetic estrogen, with progestin, and by combining the two hormones. An advantage of the combined treatment is that a contraceptive state can be obtained at a lower dose of each hormone. The model studied here is qualitative in nature, but can be coupled with a pharmacokinetic/pharamacodynamic (PKPD) model providing the ability to fit exogenous inputs to specific bioavailability and affinity. A model of this type may allow insight into a specific drug's effects, which has potential to be useful in the pre-clinical trial stage identifying the lowest dose required to achieve contraception.
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spelling doaj.art-9e2575fea3704aa5a20403f8b94ac14c2022-12-21T22:37:57ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Computational Biology1553-734X1553-73582020-06-01166e100784810.1371/journal.pcbi.1007848Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.A Armean WrightGhassan N FayadJames F SelgradeMette S OlufsenContraceptive drugs intended for family planning are used by the majority of married or in-union women in almost all regions of the world. The two most prevalent types of hormones associated with contraception are synthetic estrogens and progestins. Hormonal based contraceptives contain a dose of a synthetic progesterone (progestin) or a combination of a progestin and a synthetic estrogen. In this study we use mathematical modeling to understand better how these contraceptive paradigms prevent ovulation, special focus is on understanding how changes in dose impact hormonal cycling. To explain this phenomenon, we added two autocrine mechanisms essential to achieve contraception within our previous menstrual cycle models. This new model predicts mean daily blood concentrations of key hormones during a contraceptive state achieved by administering progestins, synthetic estrogens, or a combined treatment. Model outputs are compared with data from two clinical trials: one for a progestin only treatment and one for a combined hormonal treatment. Results show that contraception can be achieved with synthetic estrogen, with progestin, and by combining the two hormones. An advantage of the combined treatment is that a contraceptive state can be obtained at a lower dose of each hormone. The model studied here is qualitative in nature, but can be coupled with a pharmacokinetic/pharamacodynamic (PKPD) model providing the ability to fit exogenous inputs to specific bioavailability and affinity. A model of this type may allow insight into a specific drug's effects, which has potential to be useful in the pre-clinical trial stage identifying the lowest dose required to achieve contraception.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007848
spellingShingle A Armean Wright
Ghassan N Fayad
James F Selgrade
Mette S Olufsen
Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.
PLoS Computational Biology
title Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.
title_full Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.
title_fullStr Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.
title_full_unstemmed Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.
title_short Mechanistic model of hormonal contraception.
title_sort mechanistic model of hormonal contraception
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007848
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AT ghassannfayad mechanisticmodelofhormonalcontraception
AT jamesfselgrade mechanisticmodelofhormonalcontraception
AT mettesolufsen mechanisticmodelofhormonalcontraception