Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan
<p>The production and transportation of sediment in mountainous areas caused by extreme rainfall events that are triggered by climate change is a challenging problem, especially in watersheds. To investigate this issue, the present study adopted the scenario approach coupled with simulations u...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2018-12-01
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| Series: | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
| Online Access: | https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/18/3283/2018/nhess-18-3283-2018.pdf |
| _version_ | 1828257696483115008 |
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| author | S.-C. Wei H.-C. Li H.-J. Shih K.-F. Liu |
| author_facet | S.-C. Wei H.-C. Li H.-J. Shih K.-F. Liu |
| author_sort | S.-C. Wei |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <p>The production and transportation of sediment in mountainous areas caused by
extreme rainfall events that are triggered by climate change is a challenging problem,
especially in watersheds. To investigate this issue, the present study
adopted the scenario approach coupled with simulations using various models.
Upon careful model selection, the simulation of projected rainfall,
landslide, debris flow, and loss assessment was integrated by connecting the
models' input and output. The Xindian watershed upstream from Taipei, Taiwan,
was identified and two extreme rainfall scenarios from the late 20th and 21st
centuries were selected to compare the effects of climate change. Using
sequence simulations, the chain reaction and compounded disaster were
analysed. Moreover, the potential effects of slope land hazards were compared
for the present and future, and the likely impacts in the selected
watershed areas were discussed with respect to extreme climate. The results
established that the unstable sediment volume would increase by 28.81 % in
terms of the projected extreme event. The total economic losses caused by the
chain impacts of slope land disasters under climate change would be increased
to USD 358.25 million. Owing to the geographical environment of the Taipei
metropolitan area, the indirect losses of a water supply shortage caused by
slope land disasters would be more serious than direct losses. In particular,
avenues to ensure the availability of the water supply will be the most critical
disaster prevention topic in the event of a future slope land disaster. The
results obtained from this study are expected to be beneficial because they
provide critical information for devising long-term strategies to combat the
impacts of slope land disasters.</p> |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T02:45:16Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-9e27ca2952894c119ca7f19545182064 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1561-8633 1684-9981 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T02:45:16Z |
| publishDate | 2018-12-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-9e27ca2952894c119ca7f195451820642022-12-22T03:06:03ZengCopernicus PublicationsNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences1561-86331684-99812018-12-01183283329610.5194/nhess-18-3283-2018Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in TaiwanS.-C. Wei0H.-C. Li1H.-J. Shih2K.-F. Liu3Department of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, TaiwanNational Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City 23143, TaiwanNational Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City 23143, TaiwanDepartment of Civil Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan<p>The production and transportation of sediment in mountainous areas caused by extreme rainfall events that are triggered by climate change is a challenging problem, especially in watersheds. To investigate this issue, the present study adopted the scenario approach coupled with simulations using various models. Upon careful model selection, the simulation of projected rainfall, landslide, debris flow, and loss assessment was integrated by connecting the models' input and output. The Xindian watershed upstream from Taipei, Taiwan, was identified and two extreme rainfall scenarios from the late 20th and 21st centuries were selected to compare the effects of climate change. Using sequence simulations, the chain reaction and compounded disaster were analysed. Moreover, the potential effects of slope land hazards were compared for the present and future, and the likely impacts in the selected watershed areas were discussed with respect to extreme climate. The results established that the unstable sediment volume would increase by 28.81 % in terms of the projected extreme event. The total economic losses caused by the chain impacts of slope land disasters under climate change would be increased to USD 358.25 million. Owing to the geographical environment of the Taipei metropolitan area, the indirect losses of a water supply shortage caused by slope land disasters would be more serious than direct losses. In particular, avenues to ensure the availability of the water supply will be the most critical disaster prevention topic in the event of a future slope land disaster. The results obtained from this study are expected to be beneficial because they provide critical information for devising long-term strategies to combat the impacts of slope land disasters.</p>https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/18/3283/2018/nhess-18-3283-2018.pdf |
| spellingShingle | S.-C. Wei H.-C. Li H.-J. Shih K.-F. Liu Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences |
| title | Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan |
| title_full | Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan |
| title_fullStr | Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan |
| title_short | Potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard – a case study of Xindian watershed in Taiwan |
| title_sort | potential impact of climate change and extreme events on slope land hazard a case study of xindian watershed in taiwan |
| url | https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/18/3283/2018/nhess-18-3283-2018.pdf |
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