The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland

The aim of this article is to establish whether the symptoms of an emerging housing bubble can be observed on the Polish market. The concept of this study is based on a comparison between economic, financial and demographic conditions at the time of the mortgage crisis in Spain and the current situa...

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Main Author: Zbigniew Korzeb
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Warsaw University of Life Sciences Press 2019-06-01
Series:Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
Subjects:
Online Access:https://prs.sggw.edu.pl/article/view/2645
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author Zbigniew Korzeb
author_facet Zbigniew Korzeb
author_sort Zbigniew Korzeb
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this article is to establish whether the symptoms of an emerging housing bubble can be observed on the Polish market. The concept of this study is based on a comparison between economic, financial and demographic conditions at the time of the mortgage crisis in Spain and the current situation on the housing market and on the market of housing loans granted to households in Poland. An analysis of two economic indicators, (i) housing loans to households-to-GDP expressed in growth rates and (ii) rates of house price growth, does not indicate that a speculative bubble occurs in Poland now. This, however, does not mean that the conclusions drawn from the Spanish crisis cannot and should not have a bearing on the Polish market, especially in terms of potential consequences the crisis may have for the banking sector.
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spelling doaj.art-9e629fffe33041adaf93100fd9a3eae02025-02-04T10:43:10ZengWarsaw University of Life Sciences PressZeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego2081-69602544-06592019-06-0119210.22630/PRS.2019.19.2.25The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for PolandZbigniew Korzeb0Bialystok University of Technology, PolandThe aim of this article is to establish whether the symptoms of an emerging housing bubble can be observed on the Polish market. The concept of this study is based on a comparison between economic, financial and demographic conditions at the time of the mortgage crisis in Spain and the current situation on the housing market and on the market of housing loans granted to households in Poland. An analysis of two economic indicators, (i) housing loans to households-to-GDP expressed in growth rates and (ii) rates of house price growth, does not indicate that a speculative bubble occurs in Poland now. This, however, does not mean that the conclusions drawn from the Spanish crisis cannot and should not have a bearing on the Polish market, especially in terms of potential consequences the crisis may have for the banking sector.https://prs.sggw.edu.pl/article/view/2645mortgage crisisbanking sectorcommercial banksfinancial stabilitySpainPoland
spellingShingle Zbigniew Korzeb
The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland
Zeszyty Naukowe Szkoły Głównej Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego
mortgage crisis
banking sector
commercial banks
financial stability
Spain
Poland
title The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland
title_full The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland
title_fullStr The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland
title_full_unstemmed The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland
title_short The Real Estate and Credit Bubble in Spain; Implications for Poland
title_sort real estate and credit bubble in spain implications for poland
topic mortgage crisis
banking sector
commercial banks
financial stability
Spain
Poland
url https://prs.sggw.edu.pl/article/view/2645
work_keys_str_mv AT zbigniewkorzeb therealestateandcreditbubbleinspainimplicationsforpoland
AT zbigniewkorzeb realestateandcreditbubbleinspainimplicationsforpoland