Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China

AimTo construct a prediction model based on the data of premature infants and to apply the data in our study as external validation to the prediction model proposed by Yuejun Huang et al. to evaluate the predictive ability of both models.MethodsIn total, 397 premature infants were randomly divided i...

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Main Authors: Xianghua Shuai, Xiaoxia Li, Yiling Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Pediatrics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2022.924014/full
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author Xianghua Shuai
Xiaoxia Li
Yiling Wu
author_facet Xianghua Shuai
Xiaoxia Li
Yiling Wu
author_sort Xianghua Shuai
collection DOAJ
description AimTo construct a prediction model based on the data of premature infants and to apply the data in our study as external validation to the prediction model proposed by Yuejun Huang et al. to evaluate the predictive ability of both models.MethodsIn total, 397 premature infants were randomly divided into the training set (n = 278) and the testing set (n = 119). Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were applied to identify potential predictors, and the prediction model was constructed based on the predictors. The area under the curve (AUC) value, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves, and the calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive performances of prediction models. The data in our study were used in the prediction model proposed by Yuejun Huang et al. as external validation.ResultsIn the current study, endotracheal intubation [odds ratio (OR) = 10.553, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.959–22.458], mechanical ventilation (OR = 10.243, 95% CI: 4.811–21.806), asphyxia (OR = 2.614, 95% CI: 1.536–4.447), and antibiotics use (OR = 3.362, 95% CI: 1.454–7.775) were risk factors for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants. The higher birth weight of infants (OR = 0.312, 95% CI: 0.165–0.588) and gestational age were protective factors for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants. The training set was applied for the construction of the models, and the testing set was used to test the diagnostic efficiency of the model. The AUC values of the prediction model were 0.760 in the training set and 0.796 in the testing set.ConclusionThe prediction model showed a good predictive ability for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants.
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spelling doaj.art-9e6870402d6444b5a27dec1750e280852022-12-22T04:30:37ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Pediatrics2296-23602022-09-011010.3389/fped.2022.924014924014Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East ChinaXianghua ShuaiXiaoxia LiYiling WuAimTo construct a prediction model based on the data of premature infants and to apply the data in our study as external validation to the prediction model proposed by Yuejun Huang et al. to evaluate the predictive ability of both models.MethodsIn total, 397 premature infants were randomly divided into the training set (n = 278) and the testing set (n = 119). Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses were applied to identify potential predictors, and the prediction model was constructed based on the predictors. The area under the curve (AUC) value, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves, and the calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive performances of prediction models. The data in our study were used in the prediction model proposed by Yuejun Huang et al. as external validation.ResultsIn the current study, endotracheal intubation [odds ratio (OR) = 10.553, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.959–22.458], mechanical ventilation (OR = 10.243, 95% CI: 4.811–21.806), asphyxia (OR = 2.614, 95% CI: 1.536–4.447), and antibiotics use (OR = 3.362, 95% CI: 1.454–7.775) were risk factors for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants. The higher birth weight of infants (OR = 0.312, 95% CI: 0.165–0.588) and gestational age were protective factors for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants. The training set was applied for the construction of the models, and the testing set was used to test the diagnostic efficiency of the model. The AUC values of the prediction model were 0.760 in the training set and 0.796 in the testing set.ConclusionThe prediction model showed a good predictive ability for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2022.924014/fullsepsislate-onsetpredictionpreterm infantsEast China
spellingShingle Xianghua Shuai
Xiaoxia Li
Yiling Wu
Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China
Frontiers in Pediatrics
sepsis
late-onset
prediction
preterm infants
East China
title Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China
title_full Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China
title_fullStr Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China
title_full_unstemmed Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China
title_short Prediction for late-onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from East China
title_sort prediction for late onset sepsis in preterm infants based on data from east china
topic sepsis
late-onset
prediction
preterm infants
East China
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2022.924014/full
work_keys_str_mv AT xianghuashuai predictionforlateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsbasedondatafromeastchina
AT xiaoxiali predictionforlateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsbasedondatafromeastchina
AT yilingwu predictionforlateonsetsepsisinpreterminfantsbasedondatafromeastchina