Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks

Global food production is facing increasing uncertainties under climate change and the coronavirus pandemic, provoking challenges and severe concerns to national food security. The role of global agricultural trade in bridging the imbalance between food supply and demand has come to the fore. Howeve...

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Main Authors: Xiang Wang, Libang Ma, Simin Yan, Xianfei Chen, Anna Growe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Foods
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/12/2/271
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author Xiang Wang
Libang Ma
Simin Yan
Xianfei Chen
Anna Growe
author_facet Xiang Wang
Libang Ma
Simin Yan
Xianfei Chen
Anna Growe
author_sort Xiang Wang
collection DOAJ
description Global food production is facing increasing uncertainties under climate change and the coronavirus pandemic, provoking challenges and severe concerns to national food security. The role of global agricultural trade in bridging the imbalance between food supply and demand has come to the fore. However, the impact of multifaceted and dynamic factors, such as trade policies, national relations, and epidemics, on the stability of the agricultural trade network (ATN) needs to be better addressed. Quantitatively, this study estimated grouping characteristics and network stability by analyzing the changing global ATN from 1986 to 2018. We found that the evolution of global agricultural trade communities has gone through four stages: the dominance of the US–Asian community, the rise of the European–African community, the formation of tri-pillar communities, and the development of a multipolar community with a more complex structure. Despite witnessing a progressive increase in the nodal stability of the global ATN during the decades, particular gaps can still be found in stability across countries. Specifically, the European community achieved stability of 0.49 and its trade relations were effectively secured. Meanwhile, the remaining leading communities’ stability shows a stable and upward trend, albeit with more significant challenges in trade relations among some of them. Therefore, how to guarantee the stability of trade relations and strengthen the global ATN to resist external shocks has become an essential question to safeguard global food security.
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spelling doaj.art-9f3a6b0b40b743f79af3aaef44d530c12023-11-30T22:14:00ZengMDPI AGFoods2304-81582023-01-0112227110.3390/foods12020271Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade NetworksXiang Wang0Libang Ma1Simin Yan2Xianfei Chen3Anna Growe4College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, ChinaCollege of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, ChinaInstitute of Geography, Faculty of Chemistry and Earth Sciences, Heidelberg University, 69120 Heidelberg, GermanyCollege of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, ChinaInstitute of Geography, Faculty of Chemistry and Earth Sciences, Heidelberg University, 69120 Heidelberg, GermanyGlobal food production is facing increasing uncertainties under climate change and the coronavirus pandemic, provoking challenges and severe concerns to national food security. The role of global agricultural trade in bridging the imbalance between food supply and demand has come to the fore. However, the impact of multifaceted and dynamic factors, such as trade policies, national relations, and epidemics, on the stability of the agricultural trade network (ATN) needs to be better addressed. Quantitatively, this study estimated grouping characteristics and network stability by analyzing the changing global ATN from 1986 to 2018. We found that the evolution of global agricultural trade communities has gone through four stages: the dominance of the US–Asian community, the rise of the European–African community, the formation of tri-pillar communities, and the development of a multipolar community with a more complex structure. Despite witnessing a progressive increase in the nodal stability of the global ATN during the decades, particular gaps can still be found in stability across countries. Specifically, the European community achieved stability of 0.49 and its trade relations were effectively secured. Meanwhile, the remaining leading communities’ stability shows a stable and upward trend, albeit with more significant challenges in trade relations among some of them. Therefore, how to guarantee the stability of trade relations and strengthen the global ATN to resist external shocks has become an essential question to safeguard global food security.https://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/12/2/271economic integrationglobal agricultural tradecomplex networkcommunity divisionstabilityfood security
spellingShingle Xiang Wang
Libang Ma
Simin Yan
Xianfei Chen
Anna Growe
Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks
Foods
economic integration
global agricultural trade
complex network
community division
stability
food security
title Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks
title_full Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks
title_fullStr Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks
title_full_unstemmed Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks
title_short Trade for Food Security: The Stability of Global Agricultural Trade Networks
title_sort trade for food security the stability of global agricultural trade networks
topic economic integration
global agricultural trade
complex network
community division
stability
food security
url https://www.mdpi.com/2304-8158/12/2/271
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AT xianfeichen tradeforfoodsecuritythestabilityofglobalagriculturaltradenetworks
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