Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.

In the model the regeneration process is derived into three subprocesses: birth, growth and mortality of seedlings. The main emphasis is on the birth process where the following phases are simulated: seed crop, quality of seeds, maturity of seeds, predation of seeds and germination. The parameters a...

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Main Author: Pukkala, Timo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Finnish Society of Forest Science 1987-01-01
Series:Silva Fennica
Online Access:https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/5305
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author Pukkala, Timo
author_facet Pukkala, Timo
author_sort Pukkala, Timo
collection DOAJ
description In the model the regeneration process is derived into three subprocesses: birth, growth and mortality of seedlings. The main emphasis is on the birth process where the following phases are simulated: seed crop, quality of seeds, maturity of seeds, predation of seeds and germination. The parameters are based on data published in Finland. Part of the parameters are obtained directly from the investigations and part is proposed by the author. The model can be calibrated by changing parameter values. The simulation is made with the help of random numbers which have the same means as the estimates and the same distributions as the residuals of the equations used in simulation. The time step of the model is one year. The number of emerged seedlings in one year is obtained by multiplying the seed crop with the probabilities that the seed passes different phases of the birth process. Because of stochasticity the regeneration period is simulated several times. From the results it is possible to evaluate the risk and succeeding probability of the regeneration. The main drawbacks of the simulation method are the lack of empirical parameters and the difficulty of testing. The model could be further developed by including spatiality into the model. The PDF includes an abstract in Finnish.
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spelling doaj.art-9fb6ba8f5a9c41819f8a1daf447d33222022-12-21T20:59:54ZengFinnish Society of Forest ScienceSilva Fennica2242-40751987-01-0121110.14214/sf.a15462Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.Pukkala, TimoIn the model the regeneration process is derived into three subprocesses: birth, growth and mortality of seedlings. The main emphasis is on the birth process where the following phases are simulated: seed crop, quality of seeds, maturity of seeds, predation of seeds and germination. The parameters are based on data published in Finland. Part of the parameters are obtained directly from the investigations and part is proposed by the author. The model can be calibrated by changing parameter values. The simulation is made with the help of random numbers which have the same means as the estimates and the same distributions as the residuals of the equations used in simulation. The time step of the model is one year. The number of emerged seedlings in one year is obtained by multiplying the seed crop with the probabilities that the seed passes different phases of the birth process. Because of stochasticity the regeneration period is simulated several times. From the results it is possible to evaluate the risk and succeeding probability of the regeneration. The main drawbacks of the simulation method are the lack of empirical parameters and the difficulty of testing. The model could be further developed by including spatiality into the model. The PDF includes an abstract in Finnish.https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/5305
spellingShingle Pukkala, Timo
Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.
Silva Fennica
title Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.
title_full Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.
title_fullStr Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.
title_full_unstemmed Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.
title_short Simulation model for natural regeneration of Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies, Betula pendula and Betula pubescens.
title_sort simulation model for natural regeneration of pinus sylvestris picea abies betula pendula and betula pubescens
url https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/5305
work_keys_str_mv AT pukkalatimo simulationmodelfornaturalregenerationofpinussylvestrispiceaabiesbetulapendulaandbetulapubescens