Tropical cyclones and climate change

Since the Eighth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-8), held in December 2014, progress has been made in our understanding of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) characteristics, climate and climate change. New analysis of observations has revealed trends in the latitude of...

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Main Authors: K.J.E. Walsh, S.J. Camargo, T.R. Knutson, J. Kossin, T.-C. Lee, H. Murakami, C. Patricola
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2019-12-01
Series:Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300047
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author K.J.E. Walsh
S.J. Camargo
T.R. Knutson
J. Kossin
T.-C. Lee
H. Murakami
C. Patricola
author_facet K.J.E. Walsh
S.J. Camargo
T.R. Knutson
J. Kossin
T.-C. Lee
H. Murakami
C. Patricola
author_sort K.J.E. Walsh
collection DOAJ
description Since the Eighth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-8), held in December 2014, progress has been made in our understanding of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) characteristics, climate and climate change. New analysis of observations has revealed trends in the latitude of maximum TC intensity and in TC translation speed. Climate models are demonstrating an increasing ability to simulate the observed TC climatology and its regional variations. The limited representation of air-sea interaction processes in most climate simulations of TCs remains an issue. Consensus projections of future TC behavior continue to indicate decreases in TC numbers, increases in their maximum intensities and increases in TC-related rainfall. Future sea level rise will exacerbate the impact of storm surge on coastal regions, assuming all other factors equal. Studies have also begun to estimate the effect on TCs of the climate change that has occurred to date. Recommendations are made regarding future research directions. Keywords: tropical cyclone, climate change, climate variability
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spelling doaj.art-9fcab2d0567e4f99bdec9f15bafa6e862022-12-21T22:44:04ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Tropical Cyclone Research and Review2225-60322019-12-0184240250Tropical cyclones and climate changeK.J.E. Walsh0S.J. Camargo1T.R. Knutson2J. Kossin3T.-C. Lee4H. Murakami5C. Patricola6School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia; Corresponding author.Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, USANOAA/GFDL, Princeton, USANOAA/National National Centers for Environmental Information, USAHong Kong Observatory, Hong Kong, ChinaNOAA/GFDL, Princeton University, USALawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, USASince the Eighth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-8), held in December 2014, progress has been made in our understanding of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) characteristics, climate and climate change. New analysis of observations has revealed trends in the latitude of maximum TC intensity and in TC translation speed. Climate models are demonstrating an increasing ability to simulate the observed TC climatology and its regional variations. The limited representation of air-sea interaction processes in most climate simulations of TCs remains an issue. Consensus projections of future TC behavior continue to indicate decreases in TC numbers, increases in their maximum intensities and increases in TC-related rainfall. Future sea level rise will exacerbate the impact of storm surge on coastal regions, assuming all other factors equal. Studies have also begun to estimate the effect on TCs of the climate change that has occurred to date. Recommendations are made regarding future research directions. Keywords: tropical cyclone, climate change, climate variabilityhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300047
spellingShingle K.J.E. Walsh
S.J. Camargo
T.R. Knutson
J. Kossin
T.-C. Lee
H. Murakami
C. Patricola
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
title Tropical cyclones and climate change
title_full Tropical cyclones and climate change
title_fullStr Tropical cyclones and climate change
title_full_unstemmed Tropical cyclones and climate change
title_short Tropical cyclones and climate change
title_sort tropical cyclones and climate change
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603220300047
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AT hmurakami tropicalcyclonesandclimatechange
AT cpatricola tropicalcyclonesandclimatechange