Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke

Background Stenosis has historically been the major factor used to determine carotid stroke sources. Recent evidence suggests that specific plaque features detected on imaging may be more highly associated with ischemic stroke than stenosis. We sought to determine computed tomography angiography (CT...

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Main Authors: Hediyeh Baradaran, Laura B. Eisenmenger, Peter J. Hinckley, Adam H. de Havenon, Gregory J. Stoddard, Lauren S. Treiman, Gerald S. Treiman, Dennis L. Parker, Joseph Scott McNally
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-03-01
Series:Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.120.019462
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author Hediyeh Baradaran
Laura B. Eisenmenger
Peter J. Hinckley
Adam H. de Havenon
Gregory J. Stoddard
Lauren S. Treiman
Gerald S. Treiman
Dennis L. Parker
Joseph Scott McNally
author_facet Hediyeh Baradaran
Laura B. Eisenmenger
Peter J. Hinckley
Adam H. de Havenon
Gregory J. Stoddard
Lauren S. Treiman
Gerald S. Treiman
Dennis L. Parker
Joseph Scott McNally
author_sort Hediyeh Baradaran
collection DOAJ
description Background Stenosis has historically been the major factor used to determine carotid stroke sources. Recent evidence suggests that specific plaque features detected on imaging may be more highly associated with ischemic stroke than stenosis. We sought to determine computed tomography angiography (CTA) imaging features of carotid plaque that optimally discriminate ipsilateral stroke sources. Methods and Results In this institutional review board–approved retrospective cross‐sectional study, 494 ipsilateral carotid CTA‐brain magnetic resonance imaging pairs were available for analysis after excluding patients with alternative stroke sources. Carotid CTA and clinical markers were recorded, a multivariable Poisson regression model was fitted, and backward elimination was performed with a 2‐sided threshold of P<0.10. Discriminatory value was determined using receiver operating characteristic analysis, area under the curve, and bootstrap validation. The final CTA carotid‐source stroke prediction model included intraluminal thrombus (prevalence ratio, 2.8 [P<0.001]; 95% CI, 1.6–4.9), maximum soft plaque thickness (prevalence ratio, 1.2 [P<0.001]; 95% CI, 1.1–1.4), and the rim sign (prevalence ratio, 2.0 [P=0.007]; 95% CI, 1.2–3.3). The final discriminatory value (area under the curve=78.3%) was higher than intraluminal thrombus (56.4%, P<0.001), maximum soft plaque thickness (76.4%, P=0.007), or rim sign alone (69.9%, P=0.001). Furthermore, NASCET (North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial) stenosis categories (cutoffs of 50% and 70%) had lower stroke discrimination (area under the curve=67.4%, P<0.001). Conclusions Optimal discrimination of ipsilateral carotid sources of stroke requires information on intraluminal thrombus, maximum soft plaque thickness, and the rim sign. These results argue against the sole use of carotid stenosis to determine stroke sources on CTA, and instead suggest these alternative markers may better diagnose vulnerable carotid plaque and guide treatment decisions.
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spelling doaj.art-9fde3db2a9fc4226b364e85f6bc07ece2022-12-21T23:53:07ZengWileyJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease2047-99802021-03-0110510.1161/JAHA.120.019462Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic StrokeHediyeh Baradaran0Laura B. Eisenmenger1Peter J. Hinckley2Adam H. de Havenon3Gregory J. Stoddard4Lauren S. Treiman5Gerald S. Treiman6Dennis L. Parker7Joseph Scott McNally8Department of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTDepartment of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTDepartment of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTDepartment of Neurology University of Utah Salt Lake City UTStudy Design and Biostatistics Center University of Utah Salt Lake City UTDepartment of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTDepartment of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTDepartment of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTDepartment of RadiologyUtah Center for Advanced Imaging Research Salt Lake City UTBackground Stenosis has historically been the major factor used to determine carotid stroke sources. Recent evidence suggests that specific plaque features detected on imaging may be more highly associated with ischemic stroke than stenosis. We sought to determine computed tomography angiography (CTA) imaging features of carotid plaque that optimally discriminate ipsilateral stroke sources. Methods and Results In this institutional review board–approved retrospective cross‐sectional study, 494 ipsilateral carotid CTA‐brain magnetic resonance imaging pairs were available for analysis after excluding patients with alternative stroke sources. Carotid CTA and clinical markers were recorded, a multivariable Poisson regression model was fitted, and backward elimination was performed with a 2‐sided threshold of P<0.10. Discriminatory value was determined using receiver operating characteristic analysis, area under the curve, and bootstrap validation. The final CTA carotid‐source stroke prediction model included intraluminal thrombus (prevalence ratio, 2.8 [P<0.001]; 95% CI, 1.6–4.9), maximum soft plaque thickness (prevalence ratio, 1.2 [P<0.001]; 95% CI, 1.1–1.4), and the rim sign (prevalence ratio, 2.0 [P=0.007]; 95% CI, 1.2–3.3). The final discriminatory value (area under the curve=78.3%) was higher than intraluminal thrombus (56.4%, P<0.001), maximum soft plaque thickness (76.4%, P=0.007), or rim sign alone (69.9%, P=0.001). Furthermore, NASCET (North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial) stenosis categories (cutoffs of 50% and 70%) had lower stroke discrimination (area under the curve=67.4%, P<0.001). Conclusions Optimal discrimination of ipsilateral carotid sources of stroke requires information on intraluminal thrombus, maximum soft plaque thickness, and the rim sign. These results argue against the sole use of carotid stenosis to determine stroke sources on CTA, and instead suggest these alternative markers may better diagnose vulnerable carotid plaque and guide treatment decisions.https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.120.019462atherosclerosiscarotid arterycomputed tomography angiographystroke
spellingShingle Hediyeh Baradaran
Laura B. Eisenmenger
Peter J. Hinckley
Adam H. de Havenon
Gregory J. Stoddard
Lauren S. Treiman
Gerald S. Treiman
Dennis L. Parker
Joseph Scott McNally
Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
atherosclerosis
carotid artery
computed tomography angiography
stroke
title Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke
title_full Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke
title_fullStr Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke
title_full_unstemmed Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke
title_short Optimal Carotid Plaque Features on Computed Tomography Angiography Associated With Ischemic Stroke
title_sort optimal carotid plaque features on computed tomography angiography associated with ischemic stroke
topic atherosclerosis
carotid artery
computed tomography angiography
stroke
url https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.120.019462
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