Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods

Abstract Floods affected more than 2 billion people worldwide from 1998 to 2017 and their occurrence is expected to increase due to climate warming, population growth and rapid urbanization. Recent approaches for understanding the resilience of transportation networks when facing floods mostly use t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Simone Loreti, Enrico Ser-Giacomi, Andreas Zischg, Margreth Keiler, Marc Barthelemy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-04927-3
_version_ 1819281537882914816
author Simone Loreti
Enrico Ser-Giacomi
Andreas Zischg
Margreth Keiler
Marc Barthelemy
author_facet Simone Loreti
Enrico Ser-Giacomi
Andreas Zischg
Margreth Keiler
Marc Barthelemy
author_sort Simone Loreti
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Floods affected more than 2 billion people worldwide from 1998 to 2017 and their occurrence is expected to increase due to climate warming, population growth and rapid urbanization. Recent approaches for understanding the resilience of transportation networks when facing floods mostly use the framework of percolation but we show here on a realistic high-resolution flood simulation that it is inadequate. Indeed, the giant connected component is not relevant and instead, we propose to partition the road network in terms of accessibility of local towns and define new measures that characterize the impact of the flooding event. Our analysis allows to identify cities that will be pivotal during the flooding by providing to a large number of individuals critical services such as hospitalization services, food supply, etc. This approach is particularly relevant for practical risk management and will help decision makers for allocating resources in space and time.
first_indexed 2024-12-24T01:01:16Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a001eda6cb2b446db0daa80e133993d9
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-2322
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-24T01:01:16Z
publishDate 2022-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj.art-a001eda6cb2b446db0daa80e133993d92022-12-21T17:23:22ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-01-0112111510.1038/s41598-022-04927-3Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floodsSimone Loreti0Enrico Ser-Giacomi1Andreas Zischg2Margreth Keiler3Marc Barthelemy4Institute of Geography, University of BernDepartment of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyInstitute of Geography, University of BernInstitute of Geography, University of BernInstitut de Physique Théorique, CEA, CNRS-URA 2306Abstract Floods affected more than 2 billion people worldwide from 1998 to 2017 and their occurrence is expected to increase due to climate warming, population growth and rapid urbanization. Recent approaches for understanding the resilience of transportation networks when facing floods mostly use the framework of percolation but we show here on a realistic high-resolution flood simulation that it is inadequate. Indeed, the giant connected component is not relevant and instead, we propose to partition the road network in terms of accessibility of local towns and define new measures that characterize the impact of the flooding event. Our analysis allows to identify cities that will be pivotal during the flooding by providing to a large number of individuals critical services such as hospitalization services, food supply, etc. This approach is particularly relevant for practical risk management and will help decision makers for allocating resources in space and time.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-04927-3
spellingShingle Simone Loreti
Enrico Ser-Giacomi
Andreas Zischg
Margreth Keiler
Marc Barthelemy
Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
Scientific Reports
title Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
title_full Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
title_fullStr Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
title_full_unstemmed Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
title_short Local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
title_sort local impacts on road networks and access to critical locations during extreme floods
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-04927-3
work_keys_str_mv AT simoneloreti localimpactsonroadnetworksandaccesstocriticallocationsduringextremefloods
AT enricosergiacomi localimpactsonroadnetworksandaccesstocriticallocationsduringextremefloods
AT andreaszischg localimpactsonroadnetworksandaccesstocriticallocationsduringextremefloods
AT margrethkeiler localimpactsonroadnetworksandaccesstocriticallocationsduringextremefloods
AT marcbarthelemy localimpactsonroadnetworksandaccesstocriticallocationsduringextremefloods