Using prediction markets to predict the outcomes in the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency's next-generation social science programme
There is evidence that prediction markets are useful tools to aggregate information on researchers' beliefs about scientific results including the outcome of replications. In this study, we use prediction markets to forecast the results of novel experimental designs that test established theori...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
The Royal Society
2021-07-01
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Series: | Royal Society Open Science |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.181308 |