Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach

Abstract Background Although depression has a high rate of recurrence, no prior studies have established a method that could identify the warning signs of its recurrence. Methods We collected digital data consisting of individual activity records such as location or mobility information (lifelog dat...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Narimasa Kumagai, Aran Tajika, Akio Hasegawa, Nao Kawanishi, Masaru Horikoshi, Shinji Shimodera, Ken’ichi Kurata, Bun Chino, Toshi A. Furukawa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-12-01
Series:BMC Psychiatry
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12888-019-2382-2
_version_ 1818392275441418240
author Narimasa Kumagai
Aran Tajika
Akio Hasegawa
Nao Kawanishi
Masaru Horikoshi
Shinji Shimodera
Ken’ichi Kurata
Bun Chino
Toshi A. Furukawa
author_facet Narimasa Kumagai
Aran Tajika
Akio Hasegawa
Nao Kawanishi
Masaru Horikoshi
Shinji Shimodera
Ken’ichi Kurata
Bun Chino
Toshi A. Furukawa
author_sort Narimasa Kumagai
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Although depression has a high rate of recurrence, no prior studies have established a method that could identify the warning signs of its recurrence. Methods We collected digital data consisting of individual activity records such as location or mobility information (lifelog data) from 89 patients who were on maintenance therapy for depression for a year, using a smartphone application and a wearable device. We assessed depression and its recurrence using both the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K6) and the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. Results A panel vector autoregressive analysis indicated that long sleep time was a important risk factor for the recurrence of depression. Long sleep predicted the recurrence of depression after 3 weeks. Conclusions The panel vector autoregressive approach can identify the warning signs of depression recurrence; however, the convenient sampling of the present cohort may limit the scope towards drawing a generalised conclusion.
first_indexed 2024-12-14T05:26:50Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a0451fecdd71419d83ddb0d818a6f6f1
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1471-244X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-14T05:26:50Z
publishDate 2019-12-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Psychiatry
spelling doaj.art-a0451fecdd71419d83ddb0d818a6f6f12022-12-21T23:15:28ZengBMCBMC Psychiatry1471-244X2019-12-0119111210.1186/s12888-019-2382-2Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approachNarimasa Kumagai0Aran Tajika1Akio Hasegawa2Nao Kawanishi3Masaru Horikoshi4Shinji Shimodera5Ken’ichi Kurata6Bun Chino7Toshi A. Furukawa8Department of Economics, Seinan Gakuin UniversityDepartment of Psychiatry, Kyoto University HospitalAdvanced Telecommunications Research Institute InternationalSonas Inc.National Center for Cognitive Behavior Therapy and Research, National Center of Neurology and PsychiatryGinza Shimodera ClinicKabe Mental Health ClinicGinza Taimei ClinicDepartment of Health Promotion and Human Behavior, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine / School of Public HealthAbstract Background Although depression has a high rate of recurrence, no prior studies have established a method that could identify the warning signs of its recurrence. Methods We collected digital data consisting of individual activity records such as location or mobility information (lifelog data) from 89 patients who were on maintenance therapy for depression for a year, using a smartphone application and a wearable device. We assessed depression and its recurrence using both the Kessler Psychological Distress Scale (K6) and the Patient Health Questionnaire-9. Results A panel vector autoregressive analysis indicated that long sleep time was a important risk factor for the recurrence of depression. Long sleep predicted the recurrence of depression after 3 weeks. Conclusions The panel vector autoregressive approach can identify the warning signs of depression recurrence; however, the convenient sampling of the present cohort may limit the scope towards drawing a generalised conclusion.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12888-019-2382-2DepressionKessler psychological distress scaleKurashi-appLifelogLong sleep timePanel vector autoregressive model
spellingShingle Narimasa Kumagai
Aran Tajika
Akio Hasegawa
Nao Kawanishi
Masaru Horikoshi
Shinji Shimodera
Ken’ichi Kurata
Bun Chino
Toshi A. Furukawa
Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach
BMC Psychiatry
Depression
Kessler psychological distress scale
Kurashi-app
Lifelog
Long sleep time
Panel vector autoregressive model
title Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach
title_full Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach
title_fullStr Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach
title_full_unstemmed Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach
title_short Predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data: an explanatory feasibility study with a panel VAR approach
title_sort predicting recurrence of depression using lifelog data an explanatory feasibility study with a panel var approach
topic Depression
Kessler psychological distress scale
Kurashi-app
Lifelog
Long sleep time
Panel vector autoregressive model
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12888-019-2382-2
work_keys_str_mv AT narimasakumagai predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT arantajika predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT akiohasegawa predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT naokawanishi predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT masaruhorikoshi predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT shinjishimodera predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT kenichikurata predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT bunchino predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach
AT toshiafurukawa predictingrecurrenceofdepressionusinglifelogdataanexplanatoryfeasibilitystudywithapanelvarapproach