Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites

Recent studies have examined tropical upper tropospheric warming by comparing coupled atmosphere–ocean global circulation model (GCM) simulations from Phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) with satellite and radiosonde observations of warming in the tropical upper troposphere...

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Main Authors: Stephen Po-Chedley, Qiang Fu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2012-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044018
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author Stephen Po-Chedley
Qiang Fu
author_facet Stephen Po-Chedley
Qiang Fu
author_sort Stephen Po-Chedley
collection DOAJ
description Recent studies have examined tropical upper tropospheric warming by comparing coupled atmosphere–ocean global circulation model (GCM) simulations from Phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) with satellite and radiosonde observations of warming in the tropical upper troposphere relative to the lower-middle troposphere. These studies showed that models tended to overestimate increases in static stability between the upper and lower-middle troposphere. We revisit this issue using atmospheric GCMs with prescribed historical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMs that participated in the latest model intercomparison project, CMIP5. It is demonstrated that even with historical SSTs as a boundary condition, most atmospheric models exhibit excessive tropical upper tropospheric warming relative to the lower-middle troposphere as compared with satellite-borne microwave sounding unit measurements. It is also shown that the results from CMIP5 coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMs are similar to findings from CMIP3 coupled GCMs. The apparent model-observational difference for tropical upper tropospheric warming represents an important problem, but it is not clear whether the difference is a result of common biases in GCMs, biases in observational datasets, or both.
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spelling doaj.art-a06ac8a8d98d4e4ca1280a6fa1e7377b2023-08-09T14:23:12ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262012-01-017404401810.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044018Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellitesStephen Po-Chedley0Qiang Fu1Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USADepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University , Lanzhou, Gansu, People’s Republic of ChinaRecent studies have examined tropical upper tropospheric warming by comparing coupled atmosphere–ocean global circulation model (GCM) simulations from Phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) with satellite and radiosonde observations of warming in the tropical upper troposphere relative to the lower-middle troposphere. These studies showed that models tended to overestimate increases in static stability between the upper and lower-middle troposphere. We revisit this issue using atmospheric GCMs with prescribed historical sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMs that participated in the latest model intercomparison project, CMIP5. It is demonstrated that even with historical SSTs as a boundary condition, most atmospheric models exhibit excessive tropical upper tropospheric warming relative to the lower-middle troposphere as compared with satellite-borne microwave sounding unit measurements. It is also shown that the results from CMIP5 coupled atmosphere–ocean GCMs are similar to findings from CMIP3 coupled GCMs. The apparent model-observational difference for tropical upper tropospheric warming represents an important problem, but it is not clear whether the difference is a result of common biases in GCMs, biases in observational datasets, or both.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044018climate changeglobal warmingtropical vertical temperature amplificationtropical troposphereatmospheric temperature trendsmicrowave sounding unit
spellingShingle Stephen Po-Chedley
Qiang Fu
Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
Environmental Research Letters
climate change
global warming
tropical vertical temperature amplification
tropical troposphere
atmospheric temperature trends
microwave sounding unit
title Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
title_full Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
title_fullStr Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
title_full_unstemmed Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
title_short Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
title_sort discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites
topic climate change
global warming
tropical vertical temperature amplification
tropical troposphere
atmospheric temperature trends
microwave sounding unit
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044018
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