Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most common cancer among females and the third most common malignancy in males in the world. No single risk factor has been identified, but there are many interrelated factors that together cause the disease. This retrospective, cross-sectional study aimed to id...

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Main Authors: Ladan Goshayeshi, Ali Pourahmadi, Majid Ghayour-Mobarhan, Soheil Hashtarkhani, Sajad Karimian, Reza Shahhosein Dastjerdi, Babak Eghbali, Efat Seyfi, Behzad Kiani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PAGEPress Publications 2019-11-01
Series:Geospatial Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/793
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author Ladan Goshayeshi
Ali Pourahmadi
Majid Ghayour-Mobarhan
Soheil Hashtarkhani
Sajad Karimian
Reza Shahhosein Dastjerdi
Babak Eghbali
Efat Seyfi
Behzad Kiani
author_facet Ladan Goshayeshi
Ali Pourahmadi
Majid Ghayour-Mobarhan
Soheil Hashtarkhani
Sajad Karimian
Reza Shahhosein Dastjerdi
Babak Eghbali
Efat Seyfi
Behzad Kiani
author_sort Ladan Goshayeshi
collection DOAJ
description Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most common cancer among females and the third most common malignancy in males in the world. No single risk factor has been identified, but there are many interrelated factors that together cause the disease. This retrospective, cross-sectional study aimed to identify potential spatial factors contributing to its geographical distribution. Data concerning 1,089 individuals with CRC from the Khorasan-Razavi Province in Iran, located in the North-East of the country, were obtained from the national CRC registry. Local Moran’s I statistic was performed to identify clustered areas of CRC occurrence and ordinary least squared regression was calculated to predict frequency of the disease based on a set of variables, such as diet, body mass index (BMI) and the proportion of the population ≥50 years of age. Some dissimilarities related to the geography in the province and also some neighbourhood-related similarities and dissimilarities of CRC occurrence in the city of Mashhad were found. A significant regression equation was found (F (4,137)=38.304, P<.000) with an adjusted R2 of 0.6141. The predicted CRC frequency was -58.3581 with the coefficients for average BMI=+1.594878; fibre intake=-0.610335; consumption of red meat +0.078970; and ≥50-year age group =+0.000744. All associations were statistically significant, except the consumption of red meat one. The study results illuminate the potential underlying risk factors in areas where the CRC risk is comparatively high and how the CRC risk factors may play a role in CRC geographic disparity. Further research is required to explain the patterns observed. We conclude that people should include more fibre in their daily diet and decline their BMI to decrease risk of CRC.
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spelling doaj.art-a06c2e84e5bd40638abe9cad53ccfdae2022-12-22T01:23:20ZengPAGEPress PublicationsGeospatial Health1827-19871970-70962019-11-0114210.4081/gh.2019.793Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysisLadan Goshayeshi0Ali Pourahmadi1Majid Ghayour-Mobarhan2Soheil Hashtarkhani3Sajad Karimian4Reza Shahhosein Dastjerdi5Babak Eghbali6Efat SeyfiBehzad Kiani7Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, MashhadDepartment of Computer Engineering, University of Science and Arts of Yazd, YazdMetabolic Syndrome Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, MashhadStudent Research Committee, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad; Department of Medical Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, MashhadStudent Research Committee, Urmia University of Medical Sciences, UrmiaDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, MashhadDepartment of Health, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, MashhadDepartment of Medical Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, MashhadColorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most common cancer among females and the third most common malignancy in males in the world. No single risk factor has been identified, but there are many interrelated factors that together cause the disease. This retrospective, cross-sectional study aimed to identify potential spatial factors contributing to its geographical distribution. Data concerning 1,089 individuals with CRC from the Khorasan-Razavi Province in Iran, located in the North-East of the country, were obtained from the national CRC registry. Local Moran’s I statistic was performed to identify clustered areas of CRC occurrence and ordinary least squared regression was calculated to predict frequency of the disease based on a set of variables, such as diet, body mass index (BMI) and the proportion of the population ≥50 years of age. Some dissimilarities related to the geography in the province and also some neighbourhood-related similarities and dissimilarities of CRC occurrence in the city of Mashhad were found. A significant regression equation was found (F (4,137)=38.304, P<.000) with an adjusted R2 of 0.6141. The predicted CRC frequency was -58.3581 with the coefficients for average BMI=+1.594878; fibre intake=-0.610335; consumption of red meat +0.078970; and ≥50-year age group =+0.000744. All associations were statistically significant, except the consumption of red meat one. The study results illuminate the potential underlying risk factors in areas where the CRC risk is comparatively high and how the CRC risk factors may play a role in CRC geographic disparity. Further research is required to explain the patterns observed. We conclude that people should include more fibre in their daily diet and decline their BMI to decrease risk of CRC.https://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/793Colorectal cancerGeographical information systemSpatial analysisCluster analysisRegression analysisOrdinary least square
spellingShingle Ladan Goshayeshi
Ali Pourahmadi
Majid Ghayour-Mobarhan
Soheil Hashtarkhani
Sajad Karimian
Reza Shahhosein Dastjerdi
Babak Eghbali
Efat Seyfi
Behzad Kiani
Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
Geospatial Health
Colorectal cancer
Geographical information system
Spatial analysis
Cluster analysis
Regression analysis
Ordinary least square
title Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
title_full Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
title_fullStr Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
title_full_unstemmed Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
title_short Colorectal cancer risk factors in north-eastern Iran: A retrospective cross-sectional study based on geographical information systems, spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
title_sort colorectal cancer risk factors in north eastern iran a retrospective cross sectional study based on geographical information systems spatial autocorrelation and regression analysis
topic Colorectal cancer
Geographical information system
Spatial analysis
Cluster analysis
Regression analysis
Ordinary least square
url https://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/793
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