Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans

Abstract Emerging data-driven techniques, such as Complex Networks (CNs), can identify spatial linkages between droughts on a global scale and can improve early warning systems. Recent studies used CNs to identify hotspots of global drought teleconnections as land drought hubs; however, these studie...

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Main Authors: Tejasvi Chauhan, Vikram Chandel, Subimal Ghosh
格式: Article
語言:English
出版: Nature Portfolio 2024-01-01
叢編:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
在線閱讀:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00558-1
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author Tejasvi Chauhan
Vikram Chandel
Subimal Ghosh
author_facet Tejasvi Chauhan
Vikram Chandel
Subimal Ghosh
author_sort Tejasvi Chauhan
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Emerging data-driven techniques, such as Complex Networks (CNs), can identify spatial linkages between droughts on a global scale and can improve early warning systems. Recent studies used CNs to identify hotspots of global drought teleconnections as land drought hubs; however, these studies excluded the ocean regions in CN, an oversight that can upend the insights gained thus far. Here, using a comprehensive global CN analysis on drought onsets, we show that oceanic regions harbor significantly larger drought hubs than land regions. The Indo-Pacific Warm pool (IPWP) in the Maritime continent emerges as the most significant drought hub having the farthest teleconnections. We show that IPWP, together with a few sub-tropical land and ocean regions, exhibit a ‘rich club phenomenon’ in CN. Further, using a causal network learning algorithm, we demonstrate the confounding role of oceans in modulating drought onsets on land regions. Our study reveals insights on the spatiotemporal linkages of global drought onsets and highlights the role of oceans in driving global drought teleconnections and modulation of land drought hubs.
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spelling doaj.art-a0a1b2a0c542449492849b17b51e2cc92024-01-14T12:17:32ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate and Atmospheric Science2397-37222024-01-017111110.1038/s41612-023-00558-1Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceansTejasvi Chauhan0Vikram Chandel1Subimal Ghosh2Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology BombayInterdisciplinary Programme in Climate Studies, Indian Institute of Technology BombayDepartment of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology BombayAbstract Emerging data-driven techniques, such as Complex Networks (CNs), can identify spatial linkages between droughts on a global scale and can improve early warning systems. Recent studies used CNs to identify hotspots of global drought teleconnections as land drought hubs; however, these studies excluded the ocean regions in CN, an oversight that can upend the insights gained thus far. Here, using a comprehensive global CN analysis on drought onsets, we show that oceanic regions harbor significantly larger drought hubs than land regions. The Indo-Pacific Warm pool (IPWP) in the Maritime continent emerges as the most significant drought hub having the farthest teleconnections. We show that IPWP, together with a few sub-tropical land and ocean regions, exhibit a ‘rich club phenomenon’ in CN. Further, using a causal network learning algorithm, we demonstrate the confounding role of oceans in modulating drought onsets on land regions. Our study reveals insights on the spatiotemporal linkages of global drought onsets and highlights the role of oceans in driving global drought teleconnections and modulation of land drought hubs.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00558-1
spellingShingle Tejasvi Chauhan
Vikram Chandel
Subimal Ghosh
Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
title Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
title_full Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
title_fullStr Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
title_full_unstemmed Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
title_short Global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
title_sort global land drought hubs confounded by teleconnection hotspots in equatorial oceans
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00558-1
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AT subimalghosh globallanddroughthubsconfoundedbyteleconnectionhotspotsinequatorialoceans