The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression

Previous studies focused on the fundamental channels of the interaction between the equity market and credit default swap (CDS) market. This paper finds another channel, investor sentiment, that contributes to the impact of the equity market on the CDS market under different time horizons and market...

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Main Authors: Weifang Mao, Huiming Zhu, Hao Wu, Zhongqingyang Zhang, Jin Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi-Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/3475079
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author Weifang Mao
Huiming Zhu
Hao Wu
Zhongqingyang Zhang
Jin Chen
author_facet Weifang Mao
Huiming Zhu
Hao Wu
Zhongqingyang Zhang
Jin Chen
author_sort Weifang Mao
collection DOAJ
description Previous studies focused on the fundamental channels of the interaction between the equity market and credit default swap (CDS) market. This paper finds another channel, investor sentiment, that contributes to the impact of the equity market on the CDS market under different time horizons and market conditions within the framework of wavelet quantile regression. It absorbs both the merits of wavelet transform and quantile regression and is advantageous in analyzing heterogeneous time horizons and full conditional distributions. Empirical results show that investor attitude turning optimistic has a negative influence on the deviation of CDS market spread from theoretical value, while the intensification of fear among equity market will enlarge this deviation. Besides, we discovered that the influence of equity market sentiment on the CDS market first increases and then decreases as the time horizon lengthens and that the greater the deviation of CDS spreads from intrinsic value is, the more irrational the CDS market participants are. These findings suggest that the influence of investor sentiment on the credit default swap market is self-reinforced. Our results are robust after controlling for macroeconomic conditions and under different wavelet decompositions. Reasonable suggestions are given to financial institutions, investors, and policy makers based on our findings.
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spelling doaj.art-a0f3fb072afd4af8a54be6e2a829abbe2024-11-02T23:56:25ZengHindawi-WileyComplexity1099-05262023-01-01202310.1155/2023/3475079The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile RegressionWeifang Mao0Huiming Zhu1Hao Wu2Zhongqingyang Zhang3Jin Chen4College of Business AdministrationCollege of Business AdministrationCollege of Business AdministrationCollege of Public ManagementSchool of Geosciences and Info-PhysicsPrevious studies focused on the fundamental channels of the interaction between the equity market and credit default swap (CDS) market. This paper finds another channel, investor sentiment, that contributes to the impact of the equity market on the CDS market under different time horizons and market conditions within the framework of wavelet quantile regression. It absorbs both the merits of wavelet transform and quantile regression and is advantageous in analyzing heterogeneous time horizons and full conditional distributions. Empirical results show that investor attitude turning optimistic has a negative influence on the deviation of CDS market spread from theoretical value, while the intensification of fear among equity market will enlarge this deviation. Besides, we discovered that the influence of equity market sentiment on the CDS market first increases and then decreases as the time horizon lengthens and that the greater the deviation of CDS spreads from intrinsic value is, the more irrational the CDS market participants are. These findings suggest that the influence of investor sentiment on the credit default swap market is self-reinforced. Our results are robust after controlling for macroeconomic conditions and under different wavelet decompositions. Reasonable suggestions are given to financial institutions, investors, and policy makers based on our findings.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/3475079
spellingShingle Weifang Mao
Huiming Zhu
Hao Wu
Zhongqingyang Zhang
Jin Chen
The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression
Complexity
title The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression
title_full The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression
title_fullStr The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression
title_full_unstemmed The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression
title_short The Influence of Equity Market Sentiment on Credit Default Swap Markets: Evidence from Wavelet Quantile Regression
title_sort influence of equity market sentiment on credit default swap markets evidence from wavelet quantile regression
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/3475079
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