Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem

Forest fires are one of the most important factors in environmental risk assessment and it is the main cause of forest destruction in the Mediterranean region. Forestlands have a number of known benefits such as decreasing soil erosion, containing wild life habitats, etc. Additionally, forests are a...

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Main Authors: Onur Satir, Suha Berberoglu, Cenk Donmez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2016-09-01
Series:Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2015.1084541
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author Onur Satir
Suha Berberoglu
Cenk Donmez
author_facet Onur Satir
Suha Berberoglu
Cenk Donmez
author_sort Onur Satir
collection DOAJ
description Forest fires are one of the most important factors in environmental risk assessment and it is the main cause of forest destruction in the Mediterranean region. Forestlands have a number of known benefits such as decreasing soil erosion, containing wild life habitats, etc. Additionally, forests are also important player in carbon cycle and decreasing the climate change impacts. This paper discusses forest fire probability mapping of a Mediterranean forestland using a multiple data assessment technique. An artificial neural network (ANN) method was used to map forest fire probability in Upper Seyhan Basin (USB) in Turkey. Multi-layer perceptron (MLP) approach based on back propagation algorithm was applied in respect to physical, anthropogenic, climate and fire occurrence datasets. Result was validated using relative operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Coefficient of accuracy of the MLP was 0.83. Landscape features input to the model were assessed statistically to identify the most descriptive factors on forest fire probability mapping using the Pearson correlation coefficient. Landscape features like elevation (R = −0.43), tree cover (R = 0.93) and temperature (R = 0.42) were strongly correlated with forest fire probability in the USB region.
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spelling doaj.art-a150fd592ae140c4acfe0151ab6fdb0c2022-12-22T03:06:46ZengTaylor & Francis GroupGeomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk1947-57051947-57132016-09-01751645165810.1080/19475705.2015.10845411084541Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystemOnur Satir0Suha Berberoglu1Cenk Donmez2YuzuncuYil University,Cukurova University,Cukurova University,Forest fires are one of the most important factors in environmental risk assessment and it is the main cause of forest destruction in the Mediterranean region. Forestlands have a number of known benefits such as decreasing soil erosion, containing wild life habitats, etc. Additionally, forests are also important player in carbon cycle and decreasing the climate change impacts. This paper discusses forest fire probability mapping of a Mediterranean forestland using a multiple data assessment technique. An artificial neural network (ANN) method was used to map forest fire probability in Upper Seyhan Basin (USB) in Turkey. Multi-layer perceptron (MLP) approach based on back propagation algorithm was applied in respect to physical, anthropogenic, climate and fire occurrence datasets. Result was validated using relative operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Coefficient of accuracy of the MLP was 0.83. Landscape features input to the model were assessed statistically to identify the most descriptive factors on forest fire probability mapping using the Pearson correlation coefficient. Landscape features like elevation (R = −0.43), tree cover (R = 0.93) and temperature (R = 0.42) were strongly correlated with forest fire probability in the USB region.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2015.1084541Forest fire probability and hazardlandscape featureweightingartificial neural networkMediterranean regionfire weather index
spellingShingle Onur Satir
Suha Berberoglu
Cenk Donmez
Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem
Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
Forest fire probability and hazard
landscape feature
weighting
artificial neural network
Mediterranean region
fire weather index
title Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem
title_full Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem
title_fullStr Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem
title_full_unstemmed Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem
title_short Mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a Mediterranean forest ecosystem
title_sort mapping regional forest fire probability using artificial neural network model in a mediterranean forest ecosystem
topic Forest fire probability and hazard
landscape feature
weighting
artificial neural network
Mediterranean region
fire weather index
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2015.1084541
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AT cenkdonmez mappingregionalforestfireprobabilityusingartificialneuralnetworkmodelinamediterraneanforestecosystem