Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi

There appears to be an epidemiological transition in the etiology of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in parallel with a steady increase in risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). SSA has limited access to heart failure and CAD diagnostics, limiting the number of patients who receiv...

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Main Authors: Redemptar Kimeu, Mohamed Jeilan, Mzee Ngunga
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ubiquity Press 2023-10-01
Series:Global Heart
Subjects:
Online Access:https://account.globalheartjournal.com/index.php/up-j-gh/article/view/1271
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author Redemptar Kimeu
Mohamed Jeilan
Mzee Ngunga
author_facet Redemptar Kimeu
Mohamed Jeilan
Mzee Ngunga
author_sort Redemptar Kimeu
collection DOAJ
description There appears to be an epidemiological transition in the etiology of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in parallel with a steady increase in risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). SSA has limited access to heart failure and CAD diagnostics, limiting the number of patients who receive optimal care. Our objectives were to study the predictors of coronary artery disease among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and develop a model to assist clinicians in determining the likelihood of CAD before cardiac catheterization. Methodology: This was a retrospective study at the Aga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi, which is equipped with diagnostic capabilities for heart failure and coronary artery assessment. We evaluated patients with HFrEF based on echocardiographic data over a 12-year period. Patients with coronary anatomical evaluation data were included. A multivariable model of CAD was generated using stepwise logistic regression. Results: Of the 1329 patients screened, 514 met the inclusion criteria. The mean age was 61.0 ± 12.8 years. There were 381 male cases (75.2%), and the predominant race was African, numbering 386 (75.2%). Most patients, 97%, were evaluated through conventional coronary angiography. Further, 310 (60.3%) cases had significant CAD. The prevalence of CAD in HFrEF was 52.3% in Africans, 85% in Asians, and 79% in Caucasians. In the multivariable logistic regression, the odds of having significant CAD was higher among participants with diabetes mellitus (aOR: 1.86; 95%CI: 1.15–3.03), Q waves (aOR: 2.12; 95%CI: 1.12–4.10), significant ST segment deviation (aOR: 4.14; 95%CI: 2.23–8.03), and regional wall motion abnormalities on echocardiogram (aOR: 6.53; 95%CI: 3.94–11.06). Conclusion: In this population, CAD was a major etiology in HFrEF among the African population. The most powerful predictors of CAD were type 2 diabetes, the presence of pathological Q waves, or ST segment shift on a 12-lead electrocardiogram, and regional wall motion abnormality on 2D echocardiogram. Highlights • There is an epidemiological transition in the cause of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in keeping with the steady increase in cardiovascular risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). • The prevalence of CAD in African patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) was 52.3%. • In the multivariable logistic regression, diabetic mellitus, pathological Q waves, significant ST segment deviation, and regional wall motion abnormalities were significantly associated with CAD.
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spelling doaj.art-a1b8df6f1e304f6ea4ba9be0acb8e7712023-11-23T08:31:37ZengUbiquity PressGlobal Heart2211-81792023-10-01181565610.5334/gh.12711252Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in NairobiRedemptar Kimeu0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5641-5924Mohamed Jeilan1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4812-9260Mzee Ngunga2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0679-0387Department of Cardiology, Aga Khan University Hospital, NairobiDepartment of Cardiology, Aga Khan University Hospital, NairobiDepartment of Cardiology, Aga Khan University Hospital, NairobiThere appears to be an epidemiological transition in the etiology of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in parallel with a steady increase in risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). SSA has limited access to heart failure and CAD diagnostics, limiting the number of patients who receive optimal care. Our objectives were to study the predictors of coronary artery disease among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and develop a model to assist clinicians in determining the likelihood of CAD before cardiac catheterization. Methodology: This was a retrospective study at the Aga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi, which is equipped with diagnostic capabilities for heart failure and coronary artery assessment. We evaluated patients with HFrEF based on echocardiographic data over a 12-year period. Patients with coronary anatomical evaluation data were included. A multivariable model of CAD was generated using stepwise logistic regression. Results: Of the 1329 patients screened, 514 met the inclusion criteria. The mean age was 61.0 ± 12.8 years. There were 381 male cases (75.2%), and the predominant race was African, numbering 386 (75.2%). Most patients, 97%, were evaluated through conventional coronary angiography. Further, 310 (60.3%) cases had significant CAD. The prevalence of CAD in HFrEF was 52.3% in Africans, 85% in Asians, and 79% in Caucasians. In the multivariable logistic regression, the odds of having significant CAD was higher among participants with diabetes mellitus (aOR: 1.86; 95%CI: 1.15–3.03), Q waves (aOR: 2.12; 95%CI: 1.12–4.10), significant ST segment deviation (aOR: 4.14; 95%CI: 2.23–8.03), and regional wall motion abnormalities on echocardiogram (aOR: 6.53; 95%CI: 3.94–11.06). Conclusion: In this population, CAD was a major etiology in HFrEF among the African population. The most powerful predictors of CAD were type 2 diabetes, the presence of pathological Q waves, or ST segment shift on a 12-lead electrocardiogram, and regional wall motion abnormality on 2D echocardiogram. Highlights • There is an epidemiological transition in the cause of heart failure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in keeping with the steady increase in cardiovascular risk factors for coronary artery disease (CAD). • The prevalence of CAD in African patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) was 52.3%. • In the multivariable logistic regression, diabetic mellitus, pathological Q waves, significant ST segment deviation, and regional wall motion abnormalities were significantly associated with CAD.https://account.globalheartjournal.com/index.php/up-j-gh/article/view/1271coronary artery diseasepredictorshfref
spellingShingle Redemptar Kimeu
Mohamed Jeilan
Mzee Ngunga
Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi
Global Heart
coronary artery disease
predictors
hfref
title Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi
title_full Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi
title_fullStr Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi
title_short Predictors of Coronary Artery Disease in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction at the Aga Khan University Hospital in Nairobi
title_sort predictors of coronary artery disease in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction at the aga khan university hospital in nairobi
topic coronary artery disease
predictors
hfref
url https://account.globalheartjournal.com/index.php/up-j-gh/article/view/1271
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AT mohamedjeilan predictorsofcoronaryarterydiseaseinheartfailurewithreducedejectionfractionattheagakhanuniversityhospitalinnairobi
AT mzeengunga predictorsofcoronaryarterydiseaseinheartfailurewithreducedejectionfractionattheagakhanuniversityhospitalinnairobi