Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.

We present an experimental protocol to examine the relationship between exogenously induced stress and confidence in a setting applicable to financial markets. Confidence will be measured by a prediction interval for a one period ahead price forecast, based on a series of 100 previous prices; narrow...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Steven Shead, Robert B Durand, Stephanie Thomas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255038
_version_ 1819039229942956032
author Steven Shead
Robert B Durand
Stephanie Thomas
author_facet Steven Shead
Robert B Durand
Stephanie Thomas
author_sort Steven Shead
collection DOAJ
description We present an experimental protocol to examine the relationship between exogenously induced stress and confidence in a setting applicable to financial markets. Confidence will be measured by a prediction interval for a one period ahead price forecast, based on a series of 100 previous prices; narrower (wider) prediction intervals will be indicative of greater (lower) confidence. Stress will be induced using the Cold Pressor Arm Wrap, a variation of the Cold Pressor Test. Risk attitudes, and personality traits are also considered as mediating factors.
first_indexed 2024-12-21T08:49:54Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a1c389624f6c4d69b4b7dbaae4411d34
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1932-6203
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-21T08:49:54Z
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
record_format Article
series PLoS ONE
spelling doaj.art-a1c389624f6c4d69b4b7dbaae4411d342022-12-21T19:09:43ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032021-01-01169e025503810.1371/journal.pone.0255038Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.Steven SheadRobert B DurandStephanie ThomasWe present an experimental protocol to examine the relationship between exogenously induced stress and confidence in a setting applicable to financial markets. Confidence will be measured by a prediction interval for a one period ahead price forecast, based on a series of 100 previous prices; narrower (wider) prediction intervals will be indicative of greater (lower) confidence. Stress will be induced using the Cold Pressor Arm Wrap, a variation of the Cold Pressor Test. Risk attitudes, and personality traits are also considered as mediating factors.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255038
spellingShingle Steven Shead
Robert B Durand
Stephanie Thomas
Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
PLoS ONE
title Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
title_full Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
title_fullStr Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
title_full_unstemmed Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
title_short Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress.
title_sort predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255038
work_keys_str_mv AT stevenshead predictingpriceintervalsunderexogenouslyinducedstress
AT robertbdurand predictingpriceintervalsunderexogenouslyinducedstress
AT stephaniethomas predictingpriceintervalsunderexogenouslyinducedstress