Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry

Abstract Background Early identification of bleeding at the scene of an injury is important for triage and timely treatment of injured patients and transport to an appropriate facility. The aim of the study is to compare the performance of different bleeding scores. Methods We examined data from the...

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Main Authors: Alan Costa, Pierre-Nicolas Carron, Tobias Zingg, Ian Roberts, François-Xavier Ageron, for the Swiss Trauma Registry
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-09-01
Series:Critical Care
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13054-022-04178-8
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author Alan Costa
Pierre-Nicolas Carron
Tobias Zingg
Ian Roberts
François-Xavier Ageron
for the Swiss Trauma Registry
author_facet Alan Costa
Pierre-Nicolas Carron
Tobias Zingg
Ian Roberts
François-Xavier Ageron
for the Swiss Trauma Registry
author_sort Alan Costa
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Early identification of bleeding at the scene of an injury is important for triage and timely treatment of injured patients and transport to an appropriate facility. The aim of the study is to compare the performance of different bleeding scores. Methods We examined data from the Swiss Trauma Registry for the years 2015–2019. The Swiss Trauma Registry includes patients with major trauma (injury severity score (ISS) ≥ 16 and/or abbreviated injury scale (AIS) head ≥ 3) admitted to any level-one trauma centre in Switzerland. We evaluated ABC, TASH and Shock index (SI) scores, used to predict massive transfusion (MT) and the BATT score and used to predict death from bleeding. We evaluated the scores when used prehospital and in-hospital in terms of discrimination (C-Statistic) and calibration (calibration slope). The outcomes were early death within 24 h and the receipt of massive transfusion (≥ 10 Red Blood cells (RBC) units in the first 24 h or ≥ 3 RBC units in the first hour). Results We examined data from 13,222 major trauma patients. There were 1,533 (12%) deaths from any cause, 530 (4%) early deaths within 24 h, and 523 (4%) patients who received a MT (≥ 3 RBC within the first hour). In the prehospital setting, the BATT score had the highest discrimination for early death (C-statistic: 0.86, 95% CI 0.84–0.87) compared to the ABC score (0.63, 95% CI 0.60–0.65) and SI (0.53, 95% CI 0.50–0.56), P < 0.001. At hospital admission, the TASH score had the highest discrimination for MT (0.80, 95% CI 0.78–0.82). The positive likelihood ratio for early death were superior to 5 for BATT, ABC and TASH. The negative likelihood ratio for early death was below 0.1 only for the BATT score. Conclusions The BATT score accurately estimates the risk of early death with excellent performance, low undertriage, and can be used for prehospital treatment decision-making. Scores predicting MT presented a high undertriage rate. The outcome MT seems not appropriate to stratify the risk of life-threatening bleeding. Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04561050 . Registered 15 September 2020.
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spelling doaj.art-a206f7a12e0c417fa6bb99943e7b68df2022-12-22T04:29:00ZengBMCCritical Care1364-85352022-09-0126111010.1186/s13054-022-04178-8Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma RegistryAlan Costa0Pierre-Nicolas Carron1Tobias Zingg2Ian Roberts3François-Xavier Ageron4for the Swiss Trauma Registry5Department of Emergency Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital, University of LausanneDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital, University of LausanneDepartment of Surgery, Lausanne University Hospital, University of LausanneClinical Trials Unit, London School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital, University of LausanneSwiss Trauma BoardAbstract Background Early identification of bleeding at the scene of an injury is important for triage and timely treatment of injured patients and transport to an appropriate facility. The aim of the study is to compare the performance of different bleeding scores. Methods We examined data from the Swiss Trauma Registry for the years 2015–2019. The Swiss Trauma Registry includes patients with major trauma (injury severity score (ISS) ≥ 16 and/or abbreviated injury scale (AIS) head ≥ 3) admitted to any level-one trauma centre in Switzerland. We evaluated ABC, TASH and Shock index (SI) scores, used to predict massive transfusion (MT) and the BATT score and used to predict death from bleeding. We evaluated the scores when used prehospital and in-hospital in terms of discrimination (C-Statistic) and calibration (calibration slope). The outcomes were early death within 24 h and the receipt of massive transfusion (≥ 10 Red Blood cells (RBC) units in the first 24 h or ≥ 3 RBC units in the first hour). Results We examined data from 13,222 major trauma patients. There were 1,533 (12%) deaths from any cause, 530 (4%) early deaths within 24 h, and 523 (4%) patients who received a MT (≥ 3 RBC within the first hour). In the prehospital setting, the BATT score had the highest discrimination for early death (C-statistic: 0.86, 95% CI 0.84–0.87) compared to the ABC score (0.63, 95% CI 0.60–0.65) and SI (0.53, 95% CI 0.50–0.56), P < 0.001. At hospital admission, the TASH score had the highest discrimination for MT (0.80, 95% CI 0.78–0.82). The positive likelihood ratio for early death were superior to 5 for BATT, ABC and TASH. The negative likelihood ratio for early death was below 0.1 only for the BATT score. Conclusions The BATT score accurately estimates the risk of early death with excellent performance, low undertriage, and can be used for prehospital treatment decision-making. Scores predicting MT presented a high undertriage rate. The outcome MT seems not appropriate to stratify the risk of life-threatening bleeding. Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04561050 . Registered 15 September 2020.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13054-022-04178-8HaemorrhageTraumaMassive transfusionDeath from bleedingScorePrognostic model
spellingShingle Alan Costa
Pierre-Nicolas Carron
Tobias Zingg
Ian Roberts
François-Xavier Ageron
for the Swiss Trauma Registry
Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry
Critical Care
Haemorrhage
Trauma
Massive transfusion
Death from bleeding
Score
Prognostic model
title Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry
title_full Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry
title_fullStr Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry
title_full_unstemmed Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry
title_short Early identification of bleeding in trauma patients: external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the Swiss Trauma Registry
title_sort early identification of bleeding in trauma patients external validation of traumatic bleeding scores in the swiss trauma registry
topic Haemorrhage
Trauma
Massive transfusion
Death from bleeding
Score
Prognostic model
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13054-022-04178-8
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