Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia

Russia’s reasons for the continuing need of the foreign labor influx were researched. Forecast of the interdependent labor market development and migration processes in the regions of Russian is proposed as a scientific basis for better regulation of the international labor migration. The genesis...

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Main Authors: Aleksandra Vladimirovna Vasilyeva, Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Tarasyev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch 2014-12-01
Series:Экономика региона
Subjects:
Online Access:http://economyofregion.com/archive/2014/51/2474/pdf/
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author Aleksandra Vladimirovna Vasilyeva
Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Tarasyev
author_facet Aleksandra Vladimirovna Vasilyeva
Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Tarasyev
author_sort Aleksandra Vladimirovna Vasilyeva
collection DOAJ
description Russia’s reasons for the continuing need of the foreign labor influx were researched. Forecast of the interdependent labor market development and migration processes in the regions of Russian is proposed as a scientific basis for better regulation of the international labor migration. The genesis of approaches to migration modeling, revealing the lack of tools for the simultaneous prediction of migration processes and the labor market was studied. A developed model complex allows to predict: 1) migration flows, determined by the wages level difference and the distance between the country of origin and the destination regions, number of potential migrants in countries of origin and the number of migrants who arrived earlier in the regions of destination; 2) migrants’ employment in the region, considering changes in the job availability as a result of the migrants influx to the regional labor markets, characterized by search tensions; 3) the level of wages in the region, considering the bargaining power of the worker. The application of the model complex to the statistical data resulted in obtaining of the forecast flows of migrants in the Russian regions from the CIS and their influence on the regional labor markets development up to 2020. Based on this forecast, the recommendations to improve the management of the international labor migration in the Russian regions were developed
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spelling doaj.art-a223b8b0bb06491f9312d7e838b59d702023-09-03T04:10:33ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Institute of Economics of the Ural BranchЭкономика региона2072-64142411-14062014-12-012014428329810.17059/2014-4-25Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of RussiaAleksandra Vladimirovna Vasilyeva 0Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Tarasyev1 Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of SciencesInstitute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of SciencesRussia’s reasons for the continuing need of the foreign labor influx were researched. Forecast of the interdependent labor market development and migration processes in the regions of Russian is proposed as a scientific basis for better regulation of the international labor migration. The genesis of approaches to migration modeling, revealing the lack of tools for the simultaneous prediction of migration processes and the labor market was studied. A developed model complex allows to predict: 1) migration flows, determined by the wages level difference and the distance between the country of origin and the destination regions, number of potential migrants in countries of origin and the number of migrants who arrived earlier in the regions of destination; 2) migrants’ employment in the region, considering changes in the job availability as a result of the migrants influx to the regional labor markets, characterized by search tensions; 3) the level of wages in the region, considering the bargaining power of the worker. The application of the model complex to the statistical data resulted in obtaining of the forecast flows of migrants in the Russian regions from the CIS and their influence on the regional labor markets development up to 2020. Based on this forecast, the recommendations to improve the management of the international labor migration in the Russian regions were developedhttp://economyofregion.com/archive/2014/51/2474/pdf/international labor migrationunemploymentwageregionsearch model and appropriate match selectionforecast
spellingShingle Aleksandra Vladimirovna Vasilyeva
Aleksandr Aleksandrovich Tarasyev
Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
Экономика региона
international labor migration
unemployment
wage
region
search model and appropriate match selection
forecast
title Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
title_full Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
title_fullStr Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
title_full_unstemmed Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
title_short Future Development Of Migration Processes And Labour Market In The Regions Of Russia
title_sort future development of migration processes and labour market in the regions of russia
topic international labor migration
unemployment
wage
region
search model and appropriate match selection
forecast
url http://economyofregion.com/archive/2014/51/2474/pdf/
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