Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals

Estimates of survival probabilities in natural populations can be obtained through capture–mark–recapture (CMR) models. However, when capture sessions are unevenly spaced, age–dependent models can lead to erroneous estimates of survival when individuals change age class during the time interval betw...

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Main Authors: Sanz-Aguilar, A., Pradel, R., Tavecchia, G.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Museu de Ciències Naturals de Barcelona 2019-06-01
Series:Animal Biodiversity and Conservation
Subjects:
Online Access:http://abc.museucienciesjournals.cat/volume-42-1-2019-abc/age-dependent-capture-recapture-models-and-unequal-time-intervals/?lang=en
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author Sanz-Aguilar, A.
Pradel, R.
Tavecchia, G.
author_facet Sanz-Aguilar, A.
Pradel, R.
Tavecchia, G.
author_sort Sanz-Aguilar, A.
collection DOAJ
description Estimates of survival probabilities in natural populations can be obtained through capture–mark–recapture (CMR) models. However, when capture sessions are unevenly spaced, age–dependent models can lead to erroneous estimates of survival when individuals change age class during the time interval between two capture occasions. We propose a solution to correct for the mismatch between time intervals and age class duration in two age class models. The solution can be implemented in different ways. The first consists of adding dummy occasions to the encounter histories and fixing the corresponding recapture probabilities at zero. The second makes use of the log–link function available in some CMR software (e.g. program MARK). We used simulated and real data to show that the proposed solution delivers unbiased estimates of age–dependent survival probabilities.
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spelling doaj.art-a229be78092b4e3bbcfd26f52f805c762022-12-22T00:51:43ZengMuseu de Ciències Naturals de BarcelonaAnimal Biodiversity and Conservation1578-665X2019-06-01421919810.32800/abc.2019.42.0091Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervalsSanz-Aguilar, A. Pradel, R. Tavecchia, G.Estimates of survival probabilities in natural populations can be obtained through capture–mark–recapture (CMR) models. However, when capture sessions are unevenly spaced, age–dependent models can lead to erroneous estimates of survival when individuals change age class during the time interval between two capture occasions. We propose a solution to correct for the mismatch between time intervals and age class duration in two age class models. The solution can be implemented in different ways. The first consists of adding dummy occasions to the encounter histories and fixing the corresponding recapture probabilities at zero. The second makes use of the log–link function available in some CMR software (e.g. program MARK). We used simulated and real data to show that the proposed solution delivers unbiased estimates of age–dependent survival probabilities.http://abc.museucienciesjournals.cat/volume-42-1-2019-abc/age-dependent-capture-recapture-models-and-unequal-time-intervals/?lang=enage–dependent modelscapture–mark–recapturemissing datasurvival probability
spellingShingle Sanz-Aguilar, A.
Pradel, R.
Tavecchia, G.
Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals
Animal Biodiversity and Conservation
age–dependent models
capture–mark–recapture
missing data
survival probability
title Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals
title_full Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals
title_fullStr Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals
title_full_unstemmed Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals
title_short Age–dependent capture–recapture models and unequal time intervals
title_sort age dependent capture recapture models and unequal time intervals
topic age–dependent models
capture–mark–recapture
missing data
survival probability
url http://abc.museucienciesjournals.cat/volume-42-1-2019-abc/age-dependent-capture-recapture-models-and-unequal-time-intervals/?lang=en
work_keys_str_mv AT sanzaguilara agedependentcapturerecapturemodelsandunequaltimeintervals
AT pradelr agedependentcapturerecapturemodelsandunequaltimeintervals
AT tavecchiag agedependentcapturerecapturemodelsandunequaltimeintervals