What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions

While the driving factors of urban growth and urban sprawl have repeatedly been studied, the implications for residential densities presumably differ in growing and shrinking regions. Thus far, those differences have received little attention. This paper examined the dynamics of urban growth and shr...

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Main Authors: Eda Ustaoglu, Chris Jacobs-Crisioni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-09-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/10/1679
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author Eda Ustaoglu
Chris Jacobs-Crisioni
author_facet Eda Ustaoglu
Chris Jacobs-Crisioni
author_sort Eda Ustaoglu
collection DOAJ
description While the driving factors of urban growth and urban sprawl have repeatedly been studied, the implications for residential densities presumably differ in growing and shrinking regions. Thus far, those differences have received little attention. This paper examined the dynamics of urban growth and shrinkage across EU regions, using residential densities as an explanatory factor to analyse the underlying dynamics. To do so, detailed spatial data on various potentially relevant factors were used in regression methods to establish the relevance of those factors for residential expansion and densification in growing and shrinking EU regions between the years 2000 and 2010. We found that expansion and densification processes are affected by population size, prior residential density, land supply, accessibility, agricultural land rent, physical factors, public regulation, and regional characteristics. The results of this study can confirm that residential expansion is driven differently in declining regions than in regions with population growth. Models explaining residential density changes also yield different results in declining regions.
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spelling doaj.art-a25644c0573e4ce8afeefd1d5d50be952023-12-02T00:34:31ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2022-09-011110167910.3390/land11101679What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking RegionsEda Ustaoglu0Chris Jacobs-Crisioni1Department of Geomatics Engineering, Gebze Technical University, Gebze 41400, TurkeyEuropean Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), 21027 Ispra, ItalyWhile the driving factors of urban growth and urban sprawl have repeatedly been studied, the implications for residential densities presumably differ in growing and shrinking regions. Thus far, those differences have received little attention. This paper examined the dynamics of urban growth and shrinkage across EU regions, using residential densities as an explanatory factor to analyse the underlying dynamics. To do so, detailed spatial data on various potentially relevant factors were used in regression methods to establish the relevance of those factors for residential expansion and densification in growing and shrinking EU regions between the years 2000 and 2010. We found that expansion and densification processes are affected by population size, prior residential density, land supply, accessibility, agricultural land rent, physical factors, public regulation, and regional characteristics. The results of this study can confirm that residential expansion is driven differently in declining regions than in regions with population growth. Models explaining residential density changes also yield different results in declining regions.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/10/1679and-use patternresidential developmenturban growth and shrinkageland densificationregression analysisEU
spellingShingle Eda Ustaoglu
Chris Jacobs-Crisioni
What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions
Land
and-use pattern
residential development
urban growth and shrinkage
land densification
regression analysis
EU
title What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions
title_full What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions
title_fullStr What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions
title_full_unstemmed What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions
title_short What Drives Residential Land Expansion and Densification? An Analysis of Growing and Shrinking Regions
title_sort what drives residential land expansion and densification an analysis of growing and shrinking regions
topic and-use pattern
residential development
urban growth and shrinkage
land densification
regression analysis
EU
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/10/1679
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