Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning

We study the prospects of Gaussian processes (GPs), a machine-learning (ML) algorithm, as a tool to reconstruct the Hubble parameter H ( z ) with two upcoming gravitational-wave (GW) missions, namely, the evolved Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (eLISA) and the Einstein Telescope (ET). Assuming va...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Purba Mukherjee, Rahul Shah, Arko Bhaumik, Supratik Pal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:The Astrophysical Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad055f
_version_ 1797382525317808128
author Purba Mukherjee
Rahul Shah
Arko Bhaumik
Supratik Pal
author_facet Purba Mukherjee
Rahul Shah
Arko Bhaumik
Supratik Pal
author_sort Purba Mukherjee
collection DOAJ
description We study the prospects of Gaussian processes (GPs), a machine-learning (ML) algorithm, as a tool to reconstruct the Hubble parameter H ( z ) with two upcoming gravitational-wave (GW) missions, namely, the evolved Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (eLISA) and the Einstein Telescope (ET). Assuming various background cosmological models, the Hubble parameter has been reconstructed in a nonparametric manner with the help of a GP using realistically generated catalogs for each mission. The effects of early-time and late-time priors on the reconstruction of H ( z ), and hence on the Hubble constant ( H _0 ), have also been focused on separately. Our analysis reveals that a GP is quite robust in reconstructing the expansion history of the Universe within the observational window of the specific missions under consideration. We further confirm that both eLISA and ET would be able to provide constraints on H ( z ) and H _0 , which would be competitive to those inferred from current data sets. In particular, we observe that an eLISA run of a ∼10 yr duration with ∼80 detected bright siren events would be able to constrain H _0 as precisely as a ∼3 yr ET run assuming ∼1000 bright siren event detections. Further improvement in precision is expected for longer eLISA mission durations such as a ∼15 yr time frame having ∼120 events. Lastly, we discuss the possible role of these future GW missions in addressing the Hubble tension, for each model, on a case-by-case basis.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T21:07:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-a2b78883bc144ad7a2ed25f6d9f7f7ff
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1538-4357
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T21:07:39Z
publishDate 2023-01-01
publisher IOP Publishing
record_format Article
series The Astrophysical Journal
spelling doaj.art-a2b78883bc144ad7a2ed25f6d9f7f7ff2023-12-22T11:08:54ZengIOP PublishingThe Astrophysical Journal1538-43572023-01-0196016110.3847/1538-4357/ad055fReconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine LearningPurba Mukherjee0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2701-5654Rahul Shah1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7682-9219Arko Bhaumik2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8421-9397Supratik Pal3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4136-329XPhysics and Applied Mathematics Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, 203, B.T. Road, Kolkata 700 108, India ; purba16@gmail.comPhysics and Applied Mathematics Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, 203, B.T. Road, Kolkata 700 108, India ; purba16@gmail.comPhysics and Applied Mathematics Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, 203, B.T. Road, Kolkata 700 108, India ; purba16@gmail.comPhysics and Applied Mathematics Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, 203, B.T. Road, Kolkata 700 108, India ; purba16@gmail.com; Technology Innovation Hub on Data Science, Big Data Analytics and Data Curation, Indian Statistical Institute , 203, B.T. Road, Kolkata 700 108, IndiaWe study the prospects of Gaussian processes (GPs), a machine-learning (ML) algorithm, as a tool to reconstruct the Hubble parameter H ( z ) with two upcoming gravitational-wave (GW) missions, namely, the evolved Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (eLISA) and the Einstein Telescope (ET). Assuming various background cosmological models, the Hubble parameter has been reconstructed in a nonparametric manner with the help of a GP using realistically generated catalogs for each mission. The effects of early-time and late-time priors on the reconstruction of H ( z ), and hence on the Hubble constant ( H _0 ), have also been focused on separately. Our analysis reveals that a GP is quite robust in reconstructing the expansion history of the Universe within the observational window of the specific missions under consideration. We further confirm that both eLISA and ET would be able to provide constraints on H ( z ) and H _0 , which would be competitive to those inferred from current data sets. In particular, we observe that an eLISA run of a ∼10 yr duration with ∼80 detected bright siren events would be able to constrain H _0 as precisely as a ∼3 yr ET run assuming ∼1000 bright siren event detections. Further improvement in precision is expected for longer eLISA mission durations such as a ∼15 yr time frame having ∼120 events. Lastly, we discuss the possible role of these future GW missions in addressing the Hubble tension, for each model, on a case-by-case basis.https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad055fHubble diagramHubble constantGravitational wavesGravitational wave detectorsInterferometersGaussian Processes regression
spellingShingle Purba Mukherjee
Rahul Shah
Arko Bhaumik
Supratik Pal
Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning
The Astrophysical Journal
Hubble diagram
Hubble constant
Gravitational waves
Gravitational wave detectors
Interferometers
Gaussian Processes regression
title Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning
title_full Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning
title_fullStr Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning
title_full_unstemmed Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning
title_short Reconstructing the Hubble Parameter with Future Gravitational-wave Missions Using Machine Learning
title_sort reconstructing the hubble parameter with future gravitational wave missions using machine learning
topic Hubble diagram
Hubble constant
Gravitational waves
Gravitational wave detectors
Interferometers
Gaussian Processes regression
url https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ad055f
work_keys_str_mv AT purbamukherjee reconstructingthehubbleparameterwithfuturegravitationalwavemissionsusingmachinelearning
AT rahulshah reconstructingthehubbleparameterwithfuturegravitationalwavemissionsusingmachinelearning
AT arkobhaumik reconstructingthehubbleparameterwithfuturegravitationalwavemissionsusingmachinelearning
AT supratikpal reconstructingthehubbleparameterwithfuturegravitationalwavemissionsusingmachinelearning