Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment
This study analyses the adaptive potential of Russia’s economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment (hereinafter referred to as FDI). In light of today’s geopolitical environment, marked by increased trade tension and protectionist measures, understanding the impact of FDI...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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State University of Management
2024-04-01
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| Series: | E-Management |
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| Online Access: | https://e-management.guu.ru/jour/article/view/427 |
| _version_ | 1797198523187331072 |
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| author | S. S. Krasnykh |
| author_facet | S. S. Krasnykh |
| author_sort | S. S. Krasnykh |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study analyses the adaptive potential of Russia’s economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment (hereinafter referred to as FDI). In light of today’s geopolitical environment, marked by increased trade tension and protectionist measures, understanding the impact of FDI on Russia’s gross domestic product (hereinafter referred to as GDP) becomes critical for policy-making and economic planning. The study employs a vector autoregression modeling approach (hereinafter referred to as VAR) to analyse the dynamics of Russia’s GDP and FDI inflows with consideration to various economic and geopolitical factors. Besides, an extensive dataset is used covering the period from 1996 to 2021 which includes relevant macroeconomic indicators and geopolitical events. The VAR model allows to study short- and long-term correlations between variables reflecting dynamic interaction and feedback effects. In addition, impulse response analysis is used to estimate the magnitude and sustainability of economic growth under conditions of economic instability. The results of the study contribute to understanding the adaptative potential of Russia’s economic growth in the context of FDI restrictions from Western countries. The analysis provides insight into the significance of FDI inflows for the Russian GDP with consideration to the impact of various economic and geopolitical factors. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-24T07:01:13Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a2c1d19f86704f489db01edb46805b93 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2658-3445 2686-8407 |
| language | Russian |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-24T07:01:13Z |
| publishDate | 2024-04-01 |
| publisher | State University of Management |
| record_format | Article |
| series | E-Management |
| spelling | doaj.art-a2c1d19f86704f489db01edb46805b932024-04-22T08:32:49ZrusState University of ManagementE-Management2658-34452686-84072024-04-0171364710.26425/2658-3445-2024-7-1-36-47219Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investmentS. S. Krasnykh0Institute of Economics of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of SciencesThis study analyses the adaptive potential of Russia’s economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment (hereinafter referred to as FDI). In light of today’s geopolitical environment, marked by increased trade tension and protectionist measures, understanding the impact of FDI on Russia’s gross domestic product (hereinafter referred to as GDP) becomes critical for policy-making and economic planning. The study employs a vector autoregression modeling approach (hereinafter referred to as VAR) to analyse the dynamics of Russia’s GDP and FDI inflows with consideration to various economic and geopolitical factors. Besides, an extensive dataset is used covering the period from 1996 to 2021 which includes relevant macroeconomic indicators and geopolitical events. The VAR model allows to study short- and long-term correlations between variables reflecting dynamic interaction and feedback effects. In addition, impulse response analysis is used to estimate the magnitude and sustainability of economic growth under conditions of economic instability. The results of the study contribute to understanding the adaptative potential of Russia’s economic growth in the context of FDI restrictions from Western countries. The analysis provides insight into the significance of FDI inflows for the Russian GDP with consideration to the impact of various economic and geopolitical factors.https://e-management.guu.ru/jour/article/view/427russian federationfdigdpvector autoregressioncausality testsanctions restrictionsimpulse response analysisgeo-economic instabilitysocio-economic shockseconomic development mechanisms |
| spellingShingle | S. S. Krasnykh Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment E-Management russian federation fdi gdp vector autoregression causality test sanctions restrictions impulse response analysis geo-economic instability socio-economic shocks economic development mechanisms |
| title | Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment |
| title_full | Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment |
| title_fullStr | Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment |
| title_full_unstemmed | Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment |
| title_short | Adaptive potential of Russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment |
| title_sort | adaptive potential of russian economic growth in the context of decline in foreign direct investment |
| topic | russian federation fdi gdp vector autoregression causality test sanctions restrictions impulse response analysis geo-economic instability socio-economic shocks economic development mechanisms |
| url | https://e-management.guu.ru/jour/article/view/427 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sskrasnykh adaptivepotentialofrussianeconomicgrowthinthecontextofdeclineinforeigndirectinvestment |