RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+

<p>Fire spotting is often responsible for dangerous flare-ups in wildfires and causes secondary ignitions isolated from the primary fire zone, which lead to perilous situations. The main aim of the present research is to provide a versatile probabilistic model for fire spotting that is sui...

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Main Authors: A. Trucchia, V. Egorova, A. Butenko, I. Kaur, G. Pagnini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-01-01
Series:Geoscientific Model Development
Online Access:https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/12/69/2019/gmd-12-69-2019.pdf
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author A. Trucchia
A. Trucchia
V. Egorova
A. Butenko
A. Butenko
I. Kaur
G. Pagnini
G. Pagnini
author_facet A. Trucchia
A. Trucchia
V. Egorova
A. Butenko
A. Butenko
I. Kaur
G. Pagnini
G. Pagnini
author_sort A. Trucchia
collection DOAJ
description <p>Fire spotting is often responsible for dangerous flare-ups in wildfires and causes secondary ignitions isolated from the primary fire zone, which lead to perilous situations. The main aim of the present research is to provide a versatile probabilistic model for fire spotting that is suitable for implementation as a post-processing scheme at each time step in any of the existing operational large-scale wildfire propagation models, without calling for any major changes in the original framework. In particular, a complete physical parameterisation of fire spotting is presented and the corresponding updated model RandomFront 2.3 is implemented in a coupled fire–atmosphere model: WRF-SFIRE. A test case is simulated and discussed. Moreover, the results from different simulations with a simple model based on the level set method, namely <span style="" class="text typewriter">LSFire+</span>, highlight the response of the parameterisation to varying fire intensities, wind conditions and different firebrand radii. The contribution of the firebrands to increasing the fire perimeter varies according to different concurrent conditions, and the simulations show results in agreement with the physical processes. Among the many rigorous approaches available in the literature to model firebrand transport and distribution, the approach presented here proves to be simple yet versatile for application to operational large-scale fire spread models.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-a2d950fe06964a55871f543a1807a4772022-12-22T02:45:53ZengCopernicus PublicationsGeoscientific Model Development1991-959X1991-96032019-01-0112698710.5194/gmd-12-69-2019RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+A. Trucchia0A. Trucchia1V. Egorova2A. Butenko3A. Butenko4I. Kaur5G. Pagnini6G. Pagnini7BCAM–Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Basque Country, SpainDepartment of Mathematics, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Bilbao, Basque Country, SpainBCAM–Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Basque Country, SpainSpace Research Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, RussiaInstitute of Geography, University of Bremen, Bremen, GermanyDepartment of Atmospheric Chemistry, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, GermanyBCAM–Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Basque Country, SpainIkerbasque–Basque Foundation for Science, Bilbao, Basque Country, Spain<p>Fire spotting is often responsible for dangerous flare-ups in wildfires and causes secondary ignitions isolated from the primary fire zone, which lead to perilous situations. The main aim of the present research is to provide a versatile probabilistic model for fire spotting that is suitable for implementation as a post-processing scheme at each time step in any of the existing operational large-scale wildfire propagation models, without calling for any major changes in the original framework. In particular, a complete physical parameterisation of fire spotting is presented and the corresponding updated model RandomFront 2.3 is implemented in a coupled fire–atmosphere model: WRF-SFIRE. A test case is simulated and discussed. Moreover, the results from different simulations with a simple model based on the level set method, namely <span style="" class="text typewriter">LSFire+</span>, highlight the response of the parameterisation to varying fire intensities, wind conditions and different firebrand radii. The contribution of the firebrands to increasing the fire perimeter varies according to different concurrent conditions, and the simulations show results in agreement with the physical processes. Among the many rigorous approaches available in the literature to model firebrand transport and distribution, the approach presented here proves to be simple yet versatile for application to operational large-scale fire spread models.</p>https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/12/69/2019/gmd-12-69-2019.pdf
spellingShingle A. Trucchia
A. Trucchia
V. Egorova
A. Butenko
A. Butenko
I. Kaur
G. Pagnini
G. Pagnini
RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+
Geoscientific Model Development
title RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+
title_full RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+
title_fullStr RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+
title_full_unstemmed RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+
title_short RandomFront 2.3: a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models – implementation in WRF-SFIRE and response analysis with LSFire+
title_sort randomfront 2 3 a physical parameterisation of fire spotting for operational fire spread models implementation in wrf sfire and response analysis with lsfire
url https://www.geosci-model-dev.net/12/69/2019/gmd-12-69-2019.pdf
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