There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events
Abstract Extreme weather events (EWEs) are expected to increase in stochasticity, frequency, and intensity due to climate change. Documented effects of EWEs, such as droughts, hurricanes, and temperature extremes, range from shifting community stable states to species extirpations. To date, little a...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2020-11-01
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| Series: | Ecology and Evolution |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6842 |
| _version_ | 1818850212229152768 |
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| author | Eric W. Neilson Clayton T. Lamb Sean M. Konkolics Michael J. L. Peers Yasmine N. Majchrzak Darcy Doran‐Myers Laura Garland April Robin Martinig Stan Boutin |
| author_facet | Eric W. Neilson Clayton T. Lamb Sean M. Konkolics Michael J. L. Peers Yasmine N. Majchrzak Darcy Doran‐Myers Laura Garland April Robin Martinig Stan Boutin |
| author_sort | Eric W. Neilson |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Extreme weather events (EWEs) are expected to increase in stochasticity, frequency, and intensity due to climate change. Documented effects of EWEs, such as droughts, hurricanes, and temperature extremes, range from shifting community stable states to species extirpations. To date, little attention has been paid to how populations resist and/or recover from EWEs through compensatory (behavioral, demographic, or physiological) mechanisms; limiting the capacity to predict species responses to future changes in EWEs. Here, we systematically reviewed the global variation in species’ demographic responses, resistance to, and recovery from EWEs across weather types, species, and biogeographic regions. Through a literature review and meta‐analysis, we tested the prediction that population abundance and probability of persistence will decrease in populations after an EWE and how compensation affects that probability. Across 524 species population responses to EWEs reviewed (27 articles), we noted large variation in responses, such that, on average, the effect of EWEs on population demographics was not negative as predicted. The majority of species populations (80.4%) demonstrated compensatory mechanisms during events to reduce their deleterious effects. However, for populations that were negatively impacted, the demographic consequences were severe. Nearly 20% of the populations monitored experienced declines of over 50% after an EWE, and 6.8% of populations were extirpated. Population declines were reflected in a reduction in survival. Further, resilience was not common, as 80.0% of populations that declined did not recover to before EWE levels while monitored. However, average monitoring time was only two years with over a quarter of studies tracking recovery for less than the study species generation time. We conclude that EWEs have positive and negative impacts on species demography, and this varies by taxa. Species population recovery over short‐time intervals is rare, but long‐term studies are required to accurately assess species resilience to current and future events. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-19T06:45:32Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-a3176845caff47e588ce18503e507bc2 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-7758 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-19T06:45:32Z |
| publishDate | 2020-11-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecology and Evolution |
| spelling | doaj.art-a3176845caff47e588ce18503e507bc22022-12-21T20:31:55ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582020-11-011021121471215610.1002/ece3.6842There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather eventsEric W. Neilson0Clayton T. Lamb1Sean M. Konkolics2Michael J. L. Peers3Yasmine N. Majchrzak4Darcy Doran‐Myers5Laura Garland6April Robin Martinig7Stan Boutin8Biological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaBiological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB CanadaAbstract Extreme weather events (EWEs) are expected to increase in stochasticity, frequency, and intensity due to climate change. Documented effects of EWEs, such as droughts, hurricanes, and temperature extremes, range from shifting community stable states to species extirpations. To date, little attention has been paid to how populations resist and/or recover from EWEs through compensatory (behavioral, demographic, or physiological) mechanisms; limiting the capacity to predict species responses to future changes in EWEs. Here, we systematically reviewed the global variation in species’ demographic responses, resistance to, and recovery from EWEs across weather types, species, and biogeographic regions. Through a literature review and meta‐analysis, we tested the prediction that population abundance and probability of persistence will decrease in populations after an EWE and how compensation affects that probability. Across 524 species population responses to EWEs reviewed (27 articles), we noted large variation in responses, such that, on average, the effect of EWEs on population demographics was not negative as predicted. The majority of species populations (80.4%) demonstrated compensatory mechanisms during events to reduce their deleterious effects. However, for populations that were negatively impacted, the demographic consequences were severe. Nearly 20% of the populations monitored experienced declines of over 50% after an EWE, and 6.8% of populations were extirpated. Population declines were reflected in a reduction in survival. Further, resilience was not common, as 80.0% of populations that declined did not recover to before EWE levels while monitored. However, average monitoring time was only two years with over a quarter of studies tracking recovery for less than the study species generation time. We conclude that EWEs have positive and negative impacts on species demography, and this varies by taxa. Species population recovery over short‐time intervals is rare, but long‐term studies are required to accurately assess species resilience to current and future events.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6842climate changedisturbanceextreme weather eventsresilienceresistance |
| spellingShingle | Eric W. Neilson Clayton T. Lamb Sean M. Konkolics Michael J. L. Peers Yasmine N. Majchrzak Darcy Doran‐Myers Laura Garland April Robin Martinig Stan Boutin There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events Ecology and Evolution climate change disturbance extreme weather events resilience resistance |
| title | There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events |
| title_full | There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events |
| title_fullStr | There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events |
| title_full_unstemmed | There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events |
| title_short | There’s a storm a‐coming: Ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events |
| title_sort | there s a storm a coming ecological resilience and resistance to extreme weather events |
| topic | climate change disturbance extreme weather events resilience resistance |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6842 |
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