TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences

This research aims to enrich the literature on the threatening topic of Target2 imbalances in the euro area. Using a quantitative time series analysis, the paper examines and discusses the development of Target2 imbalances and the interrelationships of the European Central Bank (ECB) activities thro...

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Main Author: Michael Menrad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2020-03-01
Series:Banks and Bank Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/13245/BBS_2020_01_Menrad.pdf
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author Michael Menrad
author_facet Michael Menrad
author_sort Michael Menrad
collection DOAJ
description This research aims to enrich the literature on the threatening topic of Target2 imbalances in the euro area. Using a quantitative time series analysis, the paper examines and discusses the development of Target2 imbalances and the interrelationships of the European Central Bank (ECB) activities through market intervention using quantitative easing. This paper outlines the scope of central bank activities in different Eurozone countries and examines how individual debtor and creditor countries, as well as central banks, will continue to operate. In this context it examines whether the ECB is working on a problem solution, and what are the risks posed by Target2 imbalances for the euro area, as well as whether the euro is volatile and how the Target2 imbalances will be managed if the euro breaks. This research highlights the ambiguity of central bank activities, explains the burdens and risks of Germany as the largest creditor, shows solutions through the communitization or the creation of Target3 to correct past mistakes and to prevent a further and more severe global crisis. Attention is drawn to the fact that Italy could put the Eurozone in a critical situation by introducing mini-BOTs (small government bonds; “titoli di Stato di piccolo taglio”) as the second currency. Furthermore, it is pointed out that the ECB has adjusted its price stability objectives to raise inflation expectations in the Eurozone, which is unlikely to satisfy Target2 demanding countries.
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spelling doaj.art-a378b79c49694c35a90d4b78a5e5b5442022-12-21T18:40:12ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Banks and Bank Systems1816-74031991-70742020-03-0115110711710.21511/bbs.15(1).2020.1113245TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequencesMichael Menrad0Ph.D. Candidate, Doctoral School of Economic and Management Sciences, Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.) Program, Kaposvár UniversityThis research aims to enrich the literature on the threatening topic of Target2 imbalances in the euro area. Using a quantitative time series analysis, the paper examines and discusses the development of Target2 imbalances and the interrelationships of the European Central Bank (ECB) activities through market intervention using quantitative easing. This paper outlines the scope of central bank activities in different Eurozone countries and examines how individual debtor and creditor countries, as well as central banks, will continue to operate. In this context it examines whether the ECB is working on a problem solution, and what are the risks posed by Target2 imbalances for the euro area, as well as whether the euro is volatile and how the Target2 imbalances will be managed if the euro breaks. This research highlights the ambiguity of central bank activities, explains the burdens and risks of Germany as the largest creditor, shows solutions through the communitization or the creation of Target3 to correct past mistakes and to prevent a further and more severe global crisis. Attention is drawn to the fact that Italy could put the Eurozone in a critical situation by introducing mini-BOTs (small government bonds; “titoli di Stato di piccolo taglio”) as the second currency. Furthermore, it is pointed out that the ECB has adjusted its price stability objectives to raise inflation expectations in the Eurozone, which is unlikely to satisfy Target2 demanding countries.https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/13245/BBS_2020_01_Menrad.pdfEurozone crisispublic sector purchase programTarget2
spellingShingle Michael Menrad
TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences
Banks and Bank Systems
Eurozone crisis
public sector purchase program
Target2
title TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences
title_full TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences
title_fullStr TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences
title_full_unstemmed TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences
title_short TARGET2 imbalances: causes, assessments and consequences
title_sort target2 imbalances causes assessments and consequences
topic Eurozone crisis
public sector purchase program
Target2
url https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/13245/BBS_2020_01_Menrad.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT michaelmenrad target2imbalancescausesassessmentsandconsequences