A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance

A comprehensive auto insurance policy usually provides the broadest protection for the most common events for which the policyholder would file a claim. On the other hand, some insurers offer extended third-party car insurance to adapt to the personal needs of every policyholder. The extra coverage...

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Main Authors: Emilio Gómez-Déniz, Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/7/137
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author Emilio Gómez-Déniz
Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
author_facet Emilio Gómez-Déniz
Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
author_sort Emilio Gómez-Déniz
collection DOAJ
description A comprehensive auto insurance policy usually provides the broadest protection for the most common events for which the policyholder would file a claim. On the other hand, some insurers offer extended third-party car insurance to adapt to the personal needs of every policyholder. The extra coverage includes cover against fire, natural hazards, theft, windscreen repair, and legal expenses, among some other coverages that apply to specific events that may cause damage to the insured’s vehicle. In this paper, a multivariate distribution, based on a conditional specification, is proposed to account for different numbers of claims for different coverages. Then, the premium is computed for each type of coverage separately rather than for the total claims number. Closed-form expressions are given for moments and cross-moments, parameter estimates, and for a priori premiums when different premiums principles are considered. In addition, the severity of claims can be incorporated into this multivariate model to derive multivariate claims’ severity distributions. The model is extended by developing a zero-inflated version. Regression models for both multivariate families are derived. These models are used to fit a real auto insurance portfolio that includes five types of coverage. Our findings show that some specific covariates are statistically significant in some coverages, yet they are not so for others.
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spelling doaj.art-a396403fc6484b88a8e5fe71dd8a41792023-11-22T04:53:37ZengMDPI AGRisks2227-90912021-07-019713710.3390/risks9070137A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto InsuranceEmilio Gómez-Déniz0Enrique Calderín-Ojeda1Department of Quantitative Methods, Faculty of Economics, University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, 35017 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, SpainDepartment of Economics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne 3031, AustraliaA comprehensive auto insurance policy usually provides the broadest protection for the most common events for which the policyholder would file a claim. On the other hand, some insurers offer extended third-party car insurance to adapt to the personal needs of every policyholder. The extra coverage includes cover against fire, natural hazards, theft, windscreen repair, and legal expenses, among some other coverages that apply to specific events that may cause damage to the insured’s vehicle. In this paper, a multivariate distribution, based on a conditional specification, is proposed to account for different numbers of claims for different coverages. Then, the premium is computed for each type of coverage separately rather than for the total claims number. Closed-form expressions are given for moments and cross-moments, parameter estimates, and for a priori premiums when different premiums principles are considered. In addition, the severity of claims can be incorporated into this multivariate model to derive multivariate claims’ severity distributions. The model is extended by developing a zero-inflated version. Regression models for both multivariate families are derived. These models are used to fit a real auto insurance portfolio that includes five types of coverage. Our findings show that some specific covariates are statistically significant in some coverages, yet they are not so for others.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/7/137automobile insuranceconditional distributioncoverageinsurance pricingmultivariate zero-inflated modelsregression
spellingShingle Emilio Gómez-Déniz
Enrique Calderín-Ojeda
A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance
Risks
automobile insurance
conditional distribution
coverage
insurance pricing
multivariate zero-inflated models
regression
title A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance
title_full A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance
title_fullStr A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance
title_full_unstemmed A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance
title_short A Priori Ratemaking Selection Using Multivariate Regression Models Allowing Different Coverages in Auto Insurance
title_sort priori ratemaking selection using multivariate regression models allowing different coverages in auto insurance
topic automobile insurance
conditional distribution
coverage
insurance pricing
multivariate zero-inflated models
regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/7/137
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