Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey

This study has two main aims: to test the validity of the BARS curve in Turkey for the period 1974-2016 and to estimate the optimal government size for that period and compare it with the current situation. It uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test and quadratic equation method...

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Main Author: Durucan Ayşegül
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics, Belgrade 2022-01-01
Series:Ekonomski Anali
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2022/0013-32642232153D.pdf
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author Durucan Ayşegül
author_facet Durucan Ayşegül
author_sort Durucan Ayşegül
collection DOAJ
description This study has two main aims: to test the validity of the BARS curve in Turkey for the period 1974-2016 and to estimate the optimal government size for that period and compare it with the current situation. It uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test and quadratic equation methods. The empirical findings of the study confirm the validity of the BARS curve by providing strong evidence for the existence of an inverted U-shaped long-run relationship between government size and economic growth. Unlike many previous studies that use a single proxy measure for government size, this study uses all available fundamental indicators and their sub-components. The empirical results show that for the period studied all proxy measures of government size exceed the optimal except for total central government budget expenditure and defence expenditure. Therefore, decreasing the size of the government, other than for these two indicators, will increase economic growth in the long run.
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spelling doaj.art-a3c96510a6784784ba2c2c204541708a2022-12-22T03:40:41ZengFaculty of Economics, BelgradeEkonomski Anali0013-32641820-73752022-01-016723215319210.2298/EKA2232153D0013-32642232153DTesting the validity of the BARS curve for TurkeyDurucan Ayşegül0Kırıkkale University, Department of Public Finance, Kırıkkale, TurkeyThis study has two main aims: to test the validity of the BARS curve in Turkey for the period 1974-2016 and to estimate the optimal government size for that period and compare it with the current situation. It uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test and quadratic equation methods. The empirical findings of the study confirm the validity of the BARS curve by providing strong evidence for the existence of an inverted U-shaped long-run relationship between government size and economic growth. Unlike many previous studies that use a single proxy measure for government size, this study uses all available fundamental indicators and their sub-components. The empirical results show that for the period studied all proxy measures of government size exceed the optimal except for total central government budget expenditure and defence expenditure. Therefore, decreasing the size of the government, other than for these two indicators, will increase economic growth in the long run.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2022/0013-32642232153D.pdfgovernment sizeeconomic growthardl bounds testturkey
spellingShingle Durucan Ayşegül
Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey
Ekonomski Anali
government size
economic growth
ardl bounds test
turkey
title Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey
title_full Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey
title_fullStr Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey
title_full_unstemmed Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey
title_short Testing the validity of the BARS curve for Turkey
title_sort testing the validity of the bars curve for turkey
topic government size
economic growth
ardl bounds test
turkey
url http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2022/0013-32642232153D.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT durucanaysegul testingthevalidityofthebarscurveforturkey